Trader consensus prices a 97.2% implied probability on no criminal charges against Bill Gates in any U.S. federal or state jurisdiction by June 30, driven by the complete absence of active DOJ or FBI criminal investigations, grand jury proceedings, or formal indictments despite heightened scrutiny. Recent DOJ releases of Jeffrey Epstein files highlighted Gates' past associations but yielded no evidence of wrongdoing, prompting a House Oversight Committee transcribed interview rescheduled for June 10 testimony rather than prosecutorial action. Gates has denied illicit conduct and welcomed the opportunity to address lawmakers. While explosive revelations from the hearing could theoretically spur a special counsel probe, historical patterns show such congressional inquiries rarely result in charges within weeks, reinforcing trader confidence in the "No" outcome.