The market-implied odds of 94% against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027 reflect the central bank's current policy stance of gradual normalization amid resilient U.S. growth, contained inflation near target, and a stable labor market with low unemployment. Recent FOMC communications and economic data releases have reinforced expectations for measured adjustments rather than crisis-driven moves, consistent with historical patterns where emergency cuts occur only amid acute financial stress or sharp downturns. Traders price in this consensus given solid GDP trends and forward guidance projecting a steady rate path. A sudden recession trigger, major banking sector disruption, or severe external shock could still alter the outlook and increase the odds of expedited action.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
6% 概率
$137,727 交易量
$137,727 交易量
2026-12-31
是
6% 概率
$137,727 交易量
$137,727 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.The market-implied odds of 94% against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027 reflect the central bank's current policy stance of gradual normalization amid resilient U.S. growth, contained inflation near target, and a stable labor market with low unemployment. Recent FOMC communications and economic data releases have reinforced expectations for measured adjustments rather than crisis-driven moves, consistent with historical patterns where emergency cuts occur only amid acute financial stress or sharp downturns. Traders price in this consensus given solid GDP trends and forward guidance projecting a steady rate path. A sudden recession trigger, major banking sector disruption, or severe external shock could still alter the outlook and increase the odds of expedited action.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
市场开放时间： Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ET
交易量
$137,727结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.The market-implied odds of 94% against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027 reflect the central bank's current policy stance of gradual normalization amid resilient U.S. growth, contained inflation near target, and a stable labor market with low unemployment. Recent FOMC communications and economic data releases have reinforced expectations for measured adjustments rather than crisis-driven moves, consistent with historical patterns where emergency cuts occur only amid acute financial stress or sharp downturns. Traders price in this consensus given solid GDP trends and forward guidance projecting a steady rate path. A sudden recession trigger, major banking sector disruption, or severe external shock could still alter the outlook and increase the odds of expedited action.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
交易量
$137,727结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The market-implied odds of 94% against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027 reflect the central bank's current policy stance of gradual normalization amid resilient U.S. growth, contained inflation near target, and a stable labor market with low unemployment. Recent FOMC communications and economic data releases have reinforced expectations for measured adjustments rather than crisis-driven moves, consistent with historical patterns where emergency cuts occur only amid acute financial stress or sharp downturns. Traders price in this consensus given solid GDP trends and forward guidance projecting a steady rate path. A sudden recession trigger, major banking sector disruption, or severe external shock could still alter the outlook and increase the odds of expedited action.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题