Congressional leaders advanced multiple continuing resolution measures in July and early August 2026 to extend discretionary funding at current levels past the September 30 fiscal year-end. The House approved a clean CR through December 4, while the Senate passed its version on August 8 funding agencies into mid-December, shifting the focus to House concurrence before the October 1 deadline. These procedural steps, taken well ahead of the appropriations lapse date and amid midterm election pressures, have reduced near-term shutdown risk. Traders price the low probability of a lapse because past patterns show both chambers routinely enact such stopgap legislation when regular appropriations bills stall, and no major procedural or partisan barriers have emerged in recent votes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Aug 5, 2026, 11:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Congressional leaders advanced multiple continuing resolution measures in July and early August 2026 to extend discretionary funding at current levels past the September 30 fiscal year-end. The House approved a clean CR through December 4, while the Senate passed its version on August 8 funding agencies into mid-December, shifting the focus to House concurrence before the October 1 deadline. These procedural steps, taken well ahead of the appropriations lapse date and amid midterm election pressures, have reduced near-term shutdown risk. Traders price the low probability of a lapse because past patterns show both chambers routinely enact such stopgap legislation when regular appropriations bills stall, and no major procedural or partisan barriers have emerged in recent votes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


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