Forecast models from major centers show Ankara under persistent high pressure on July 20, producing clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime radiative heating that support daily maxima near 34–35 °C. Ensemble spreads place the most probable outcomes in this narrow range, reflected in the market’s near-even split between those two bins. Subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture, exact timing of peak insolation, and local urban heat effects create the remaining uncertainty between 34 °C and 35 °C, while cooler or hotter outliers remain low-probability given current guidance. Updated model runs and official Turkish Meteorological Service briefings over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the consensus ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月20日安卡拉的最高温度？
7月20日安卡拉的最高温度？
33°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$40,495 交易量
$40,495 交易量
2026-07-20
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$40,495 交易量
$40,495 交易量
2026-07-20
29°C or below
$506 交易量
No
30°C
$346 交易量
No
31°C
$2,015 交易量
No
32°C
$4,938 交易量
No
33°C
$13,054 交易量
Yes
34°C
$8,910 交易量
No
35°C
$6,248 交易量
No
36°C
$2,749 交易量
No
37°C
$762 交易量
No
38°C
$563 交易量
No
39°C or higher
$404 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from major centers show Ankara under persistent high pressure on July 20, producing clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime radiative heating that support daily maxima near 34–35 °C. Ensemble spreads place the most probable outcomes in this narrow range, reflected in the market’s near-even split between those two bins. Subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture, exact timing of peak insolation, and local urban heat effects create the remaining uncertainty between 34 °C and 35 °C, while cooler or hotter outliers remain low-probability given current guidance. Updated model runs and official Turkish Meteorological Service briefings over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the consensus ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 18, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$40,495结束日期
2026-07-20市场开放时间
Jul 18, 2026, 12:03 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from major centers show Ankara under persistent high pressure on July 20, producing clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime radiative heating that support daily maxima near 34–35 °C. Ensemble spreads place the most probable outcomes in this narrow range, reflected in the market’s near-even split between those two bins. Subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture, exact timing of peak insolation, and local urban heat effects create the remaining uncertainty between 34 °C and 35 °C, while cooler or hotter outliers remain low-probability given current guidance. Updated model runs and official Turkish Meteorological Service briefings over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the consensus ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$40,495结束日期
2026-07-20市场开放时间
Jul 18, 2026, 12:03 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Forecast models from major centers show Ankara under persistent high pressure on July 20, producing clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime radiative heating that support daily maxima near 34–35 °C. Ensemble spreads place the most probable outcomes in this narrow range, reflected in the market’s near-even split between those two bins. Subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture, exact timing of peak insolation, and local urban heat effects create the remaining uncertainty between 34 °C and 35 °C, while cooler or hotter outliers remain low-probability given current guidance. Updated model runs and official Turkish Meteorological Service briefings over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the consensus ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题