Traders see the 100–101°F bin leading at 36.5% because ensemble forecasts from NOAA and private models place Dallas’s August 3 daily maximum right around the long-term August average of 100°F. With no strong cold front or tropical moisture expected, abundant sunshine and light southerly flow should allow typical surface heating under a ridge of high pressure. Small differences among leading outcomes (98–99°F at 28.5%, 102–103°F at 22.5%) stem from minor uncertainties in afternoon cloud development, boundary-layer mixing depth, and exact dew-point values, which can shift peak temperatures by a degree or two. Historical climatology shows highs in this range occur frequently in early August, keeping the market tightly clustered around the most probable values.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月3日达拉斯的最高温度？
8月3日达拉斯的最高温度？
100-101°F 37%
98-99°F 29%
102-103°F 23%
96-97°F 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
95°F or below
1%
96-97°F
7%
98-99°F
29%
100-101°F
37%
102-103°F
23%
104-105°F
7%
106-107°F
1%
108-109°F
1%
110-111°F
1%
112-113°F
<1%
114°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 37%
98-99°F 29%
102-103°F 23%
96-97°F 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
95°F or below
$28 交易量
1%
96-97°F
$294 交易量
7%
98-99°F
$347 交易量
29%
100-101°F
$247 交易量
37%
102-103°F
$127 交易量
23%
104-105°F
$67 交易量
7%
106-107°F
$135 交易量
1%
108-109°F
$58 交易量
1%
110-111°F
$25 交易量
1%
112-113°F
$48 交易量
<1%
114°F or higher
$193 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the 100–101°F bin leading at 36.5% because ensemble forecasts from NOAA and private models place Dallas’s August 3 daily maximum right around the long-term August average of 100°F. With no strong cold front or tropical moisture expected, abundant sunshine and light southerly flow should allow typical surface heating under a ridge of high pressure. Small differences among leading outcomes (98–99°F at 28.5%, 102–103°F at 22.5%) stem from minor uncertainties in afternoon cloud development, boundary-layer mixing depth, and exact dew-point values, which can shift peak temperatures by a degree or two. Historical climatology shows highs in this range occur frequently in early August, keeping the market tightly clustered around the most probable values.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 1, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
交易量
$1,570结束日期
2026-08-03市场开放时间
Aug 1, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the 100–101°F bin leading at 36.5% because ensemble forecasts from NOAA and private models place Dallas’s August 3 daily maximum right around the long-term August average of 100°F. With no strong cold front or tropical moisture expected, abundant sunshine and light southerly flow should allow typical surface heating under a ridge of high pressure. Small differences among leading outcomes (98–99°F at 28.5%, 102–103°F at 22.5%) stem from minor uncertainties in afternoon cloud development, boundary-layer mixing depth, and exact dew-point values, which can shift peak temperatures by a degree or two. Historical climatology shows highs in this range occur frequently in early August, keeping the market tightly clustered around the most probable values.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,570结束日期
2026-08-03市场开放时间
Aug 1, 2026, 9:03 PM ETTraders see the 100–101°F bin leading at 36.5% because ensemble forecasts from NOAA and private models place Dallas’s August 3 daily maximum right around the long-term August average of 100°F. With no strong cold front or tropical moisture expected, abundant sunshine and light southerly flow should allow typical surface heating under a ridge of high pressure. Small differences among leading outcomes (98–99°F at 28.5%, 102–103°F at 22.5%) stem from minor uncertainties in afternoon cloud development, boundary-layer mixing depth, and exact dew-point values, which can shift peak temperatures by a degree or two. Historical climatology shows highs in this range occur frequently in early August, keeping the market tightly clustered around the most probable values.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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