Traders are pricing the highest temperature in Dallas on August 2 near the climatological normal of 97°F, with 96-99°F brackets capturing nearly 80% of implied probability. Long-range outlooks from AccuWeather place early-August highs in the 96-105°F envelope, while the normal maximum for the date is 97°F and records reach 106°F. Recent July heat waves peaking near 105°F have raised baseline expectations, yet model guidance and historical analogs point to modest cooling from possible thunderstorms and shifting steering patterns. National Weather Service data and seasonal forecasts indicate normal-to-slightly-above-normal conditions overall, with limited upside risk beyond 100°F absent a strong ridge build-up. Updated short-range model runs over the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月2日达拉斯的最高温度？
8月2日达拉斯的最高温度？
96-97°F 46%
98-99°F 33%
94-95°F 9%
100-101°F 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-02
89°F or below
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
9%
96-97°F
46%
98-99°F
33%
100-101°F
9%
102-103°F
3%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F or higher
<1%
96-97°F 46%
98-99°F 33%
94-95°F 9%
100-101°F 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-02
89°F or below
$442 交易量
<1%
90-91°F
$78 交易量
1%
92-93°F
$247 交易量
3%
94-95°F
$221 交易量
9%
96-97°F
$417 交易量
46%
98-99°F
$168 交易量
33%
100-101°F
$286 交易量
9%
102-103°F
$131 交易量
3%
104-105°F
$81 交易量
1%
106-107°F
$79 交易量
<1%
108°F or higher
$99 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders are pricing the highest temperature in Dallas on August 2 near the climatological normal of 97°F, with 96-99°F brackets capturing nearly 80% of implied probability. Long-range outlooks from AccuWeather place early-August highs in the 96-105°F envelope, while the normal maximum for the date is 97°F and records reach 106°F. Recent July heat waves peaking near 105°F have raised baseline expectations, yet model guidance and historical analogs point to modest cooling from possible thunderstorms and shifting steering patterns. National Weather Service data and seasonal forecasts indicate normal-to-slightly-above-normal conditions overall, with limited upside risk beyond 100°F absent a strong ridge build-up. Updated short-range model runs over the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 31, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
交易量
$2,249结束日期
2026-08-02市场开放时间
Jul 31, 2026, 9:02 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders are pricing the highest temperature in Dallas on August 2 near the climatological normal of 97°F, with 96-99°F brackets capturing nearly 80% of implied probability. Long-range outlooks from AccuWeather place early-August highs in the 96-105°F envelope, while the normal maximum for the date is 97°F and records reach 106°F. Recent July heat waves peaking near 105°F have raised baseline expectations, yet model guidance and historical analogs point to modest cooling from possible thunderstorms and shifting steering patterns. National Weather Service data and seasonal forecasts indicate normal-to-slightly-above-normal conditions overall, with limited upside risk beyond 100°F absent a strong ridge build-up. Updated short-range model runs over the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,249结束日期
2026-08-02市场开放时间
Jul 31, 2026, 9:02 PM ETTraders are pricing the highest temperature in Dallas on August 2 near the climatological normal of 97°F, with 96-99°F brackets capturing nearly 80% of implied probability. Long-range outlooks from AccuWeather place early-August highs in the 96-105°F envelope, while the normal maximum for the date is 97°F and records reach 106°F. Recent July heat waves peaking near 105°F have raised baseline expectations, yet model guidance and historical analogs point to modest cooling from possible thunderstorms and shifting steering patterns. National Weather Service data and seasonal forecasts indicate normal-to-slightly-above-normal conditions overall, with limited upside risk beyond 100°F absent a strong ridge build-up. Updated short-range model runs over the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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