Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate Denver will experience strong high-pressure ridging on August 3, with downslope warming and limited cloud cover supporting afternoon highs near or above 100 °F. Trader consensus favoring the 100–101 °F bin reflects this setup, tempered by modest spread in guidance on exact boundary-layer mixing and any late-day convective initiation that could cap temperatures. Historical August climatology shows typical highs around 90–92 °F, so current conditions represent a clear positive anomaly driven by the broader western heat wave. Updated NWS and NOAA model releases over the next 24 hours will refine wind and moisture profiles, directly influencing resolution odds among the tightly clustered central outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月3日丹佛最高温度？
8月3日丹佛最高温度？
100-101°F 41%
98-99°F 33%
102-103°F 20%
96-97°F 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
91°F或以下
1%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
6%
98-99°F
33%
100-101°F
41%
102-103°F
20%
104-105°F
3%
106-107°F
2%
108-109°F
2%
110°F或更高
<1%
100-101°F 41%
98-99°F 33%
102-103°F 20%
96-97°F 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
91°F或以下
$192 交易量
1%
92-93°F
$72 交易量
2%
94-95°F
$301 交易量
2%
96-97°F
$459 交易量
6%
98-99°F
$274 交易量
33%
100-101°F
$362 交易量
41%
102-103°F
$232 交易量
20%
104-105°F
$40 交易量
3%
106-107°F
$46 交易量
2%
108-109°F
$25 交易量
2%
110°F或更高
$171 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate Denver will experience strong high-pressure ridging on August 3, with downslope warming and limited cloud cover supporting afternoon highs near or above 100 °F. Trader consensus favoring the 100–101 °F bin reflects this setup, tempered by modest spread in guidance on exact boundary-layer mixing and any late-day convective initiation that could cap temperatures. Historical August climatology shows typical highs around 90–92 °F, so current conditions represent a clear positive anomaly driven by the broader western heat wave. Updated NWS and NOAA model releases over the next 24 hours will refine wind and moisture profiles, directly influencing resolution odds among the tightly clustered central outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 1, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
交易量
$2,173结束日期
2026-08-03市场开放时间
Aug 1, 2026, 9:04 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate Denver will experience strong high-pressure ridging on August 3, with downslope warming and limited cloud cover supporting afternoon highs near or above 100 °F. Trader consensus favoring the 100–101 °F bin reflects this setup, tempered by modest spread in guidance on exact boundary-layer mixing and any late-day convective initiation that could cap temperatures. Historical August climatology shows typical highs around 90–92 °F, so current conditions represent a clear positive anomaly driven by the broader western heat wave. Updated NWS and NOAA model releases over the next 24 hours will refine wind and moisture profiles, directly influencing resolution odds among the tightly clustered central outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,173结束日期
2026-08-03市场开放时间
Aug 1, 2026, 9:04 PM ETRecent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate Denver will experience strong high-pressure ridging on August 3, with downslope warming and limited cloud cover supporting afternoon highs near or above 100 °F. Trader consensus favoring the 100–101 °F bin reflects this setup, tempered by modest spread in guidance on exact boundary-layer mixing and any late-day convective initiation that could cap temperatures. Historical August climatology shows typical highs around 90–92 °F, so current conditions represent a clear positive anomaly driven by the broader western heat wave. Updated NWS and NOAA model releases over the next 24 hours will refine wind and moisture profiles, directly influencing resolution odds among the tightly clustered central outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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