Current National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a high near 100°F in Denver on August 2 amid an expanding heat wave across the Intermountain West, with sunny skies and light southwest winds supporting daytime heating. This aligns with early-August climatology while exceeding the ~90°F normal, though ensemble spreads and minor variations in boundary-layer moisture or cloud cover could shift the peak by 1–2°F. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to the 100–101°F and 102–103°F bins because official guidance centers near the lower end of that range, with upside risk tied to stronger downslope warming or delayed cloud development. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon model runs will refine the exact maximum before the market resolves.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月2日丹佛最高温度?
100-101°F 41%
102-103°F 37%
98-99°F 16%
96-97°F 5%
$10,047 交易量
$10,047 交易量
91°F或以下
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
5%
98-99°F
16%
100-101°F
41%
102-103°F
37%
104-105°F
3%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F或更高
<1%
100-101°F 41%
102-103°F 37%
98-99°F 16%
96-97°F 5%
$10,047 交易量
$10,047 交易量
91°F或以下
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
5%
98-99°F
16%
100-101°F
41%
102-103°F
37%
104-105°F
3%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a high near 100°F in Denver on August 2 amid an expanding heat wave across the Intermountain West, with sunny skies and light southwest winds supporting daytime heating. This aligns with early-August climatology while exceeding the ~90°F normal, though ensemble spreads and minor variations in boundary-layer moisture or cloud cover could shift the peak by 1–2°F. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to the 100–101°F and 102–103°F bins because official guidance centers near the lower end of that range, with upside risk tied to stronger downslope warming or delayed cloud development. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon model runs will refine the exact maximum before the market resolves.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题