Current meteorological observations and forecast models from China's National Meteorological Center indicate a daily maximum temperature of 27°C in Guangzhou on May 17, driven by typical subtropical high-pressure conditions and moderate southerly flow that limit daytime heating. Historical May climatology for the region shows average highs near 28°C, with this slightly cooler outcome consistent with recent model consensus on cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture. Trader positioning at 100% implied probability for exactly 27°C reflects real-time alignment between official station data and short-range numerical weather prediction outputs. Minor adjustments could arise only from final post-analysis revisions to the official record or unexpected local microclimate effects, though both remain low-probability given the stability of current atmospheric patterns.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月17日广州气温最高?
27°C 100.0%
22°C或以下 <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$30,556 交易量
$30,556 交易量
22°C或以下
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
是
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C或更高
否
27°C 100.0%
22°C或以下 <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$30,556 交易量
$30,556 交易量
22°C或以下
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
是
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Current meteorological observations and forecast models from China's National Meteorological Center indicate a daily maximum temperature of 27°C in Guangzhou on May 17, driven by typical subtropical high-pressure conditions and moderate southerly flow that limit daytime heating. Historical May climatology for the region shows average highs near 28°C, with this slightly cooler outcome consistent with recent model consensus on cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture. Trader positioning at 100% implied probability for exactly 27°C reflects real-time alignment between official station data and short-range numerical weather prediction outputs. Minor adjustments could arise only from final post-analysis revisions to the official record or unexpected local microclimate effects, though both remain low-probability given the stability of current atmospheric patterns.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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