Recent China Meteorological Administration forecasts and ensemble runs from the ECMWF and GFS models indicate a daily maximum near 27–28°C in Guangzhou for May 17 amid patchy rain, elevated cloud cover, and a weakening subtropical ridge that limits daytime heating. These conditions align with the market’s leading implied probabilities for exactly 28°C and 27°C while historical mid-May baselines average 29–30°C under drier patterns. Moisture influx from the South China Sea further caps potential extremes by enhancing evaporative cooling and suppressing full solar insolation. Official station observations at day’s end will resolve the market, with any late-afternoon clearing offering the main pathway for readings to reach 29°C or higher.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月17日广州气温最高？
5月17日广州气温最高？
28°C 36%
27°C 22%
29°C 19%
26°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-05-17
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
12%
27°C
22%
28°C
36%
29°C
19%
30°C
8%
31°C
2%
32°C或更高
1%
28°C 36%
27°C 22%
29°C 19%
26°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-05-17
22°C或以下
$492 交易量
<1%
23°C
$1,000 交易量
<1%
24°C
$1,698 交易量
1%
25°C
$469 交易量
1%
26°C
$386 交易量
12%
27°C
$323 交易量
22%
28°C
$481 交易量
36%
29°C
$570 交易量
19%
30°C
$460 交易量
8%
31°C
$791 交易量
2%
32°C或更高
$718 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent China Meteorological Administration forecasts and ensemble runs from the ECMWF and GFS models indicate a daily maximum near 27–28°C in Guangzhou for May 17 amid patchy rain, elevated cloud cover, and a weakening subtropical ridge that limits daytime heating. These conditions align with the market’s leading implied probabilities for exactly 28°C and 27°C while historical mid-May baselines average 29–30°C under drier patterns. Moisture influx from the South China Sea further caps potential extremes by enhancing evaporative cooling and suppressing full solar insolation. Official station observations at day’s end will resolve the market, with any late-afternoon clearing offering the main pathway for readings to reach 29°C or higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
交易量
$7,387结束日期
2026-05-17市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent China Meteorological Administration forecasts and ensemble runs from the ECMWF and GFS models indicate a daily maximum near 27–28°C in Guangzhou for May 17 amid patchy rain, elevated cloud cover, and a weakening subtropical ridge that limits daytime heating. These conditions align with the market’s leading implied probabilities for exactly 28°C and 27°C while historical mid-May baselines average 29–30°C under drier patterns. Moisture influx from the South China Sea further caps potential extremes by enhancing evaporative cooling and suppressing full solar insolation. Official station observations at day’s end will resolve the market, with any late-afternoon clearing offering the main pathway for readings to reach 29°C or higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$7,387结束日期
2026-05-17市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETRecent China Meteorological Administration forecasts and ensemble runs from the ECMWF and GFS models indicate a daily maximum near 27–28°C in Guangzhou for May 17 amid patchy rain, elevated cloud cover, and a weakening subtropical ridge that limits daytime heating. These conditions align with the market’s leading implied probabilities for exactly 28°C and 27°C while historical mid-May baselines average 29–30°C under drier patterns. Moisture influx from the South China Sea further caps potential extremes by enhancing evaporative cooling and suppressing full solar insolation. Official station observations at day’s end will resolve the market, with any late-afternoon clearing offering the main pathway for readings to reach 29°C or higher.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题