Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a daily maximum of exactly 25°C on May 16 amid typical early-May subtropical conditions with moderate humidity and light winds. This verified reading from the agency’s primary surface station aligns precisely with the market’s dominant 98.5% implied probability for the 25°C outcome. Historical climatology shows May highs averaging near 28–29°C, yet localized cooling from recent frontal passages and cloud cover produced the lower peak. Minor forecast revisions or station-specific discrepancies could theoretically alter resolution, though the final official data release leaves little room for deviation from the recorded value.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 16?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 16?
25°C 98.8%
21°C 2.5%
28°C 1.0%
27°C <1%
$303,967 交易量
$303,967 交易量
2026-05-16
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
3%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
99%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
1%
25°C 98.8%
21°C 2.5%
28°C 1.0%
27°C <1%
$303,967 交易量
$303,967 交易量
2026-05-16
19°C or below
$20,114 交易量
<1%
20°C
$12,423 交易量
<1%
21°C
$12,291 交易量
3%
22°C
$6,633 交易量
<1%
23°C
$4,753 交易量
<1%
24°C
$37,336 交易量
<1%
25°C
$77,404 交易量
99%
26°C
$43,033 交易量
<1%
27°C
$39,653 交易量
1%
28°C
$25,280 交易量
1%
29°C or higher
$25,047 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a daily maximum of exactly 25°C on May 16 amid typical early-May subtropical conditions with moderate humidity and light winds. This verified reading from the agency’s primary surface station aligns precisely with the market’s dominant 98.5% implied probability for the 25°C outcome. Historical climatology shows May highs averaging near 28–29°C, yet localized cooling from recent frontal passages and cloud cover produced the lower peak. Minor forecast revisions or station-specific discrepancies could theoretically alter resolution, though the final official data release leaves little room for deviation from the recorded value.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
交易量
$303,967结束日期
2026-05-16市场开放时间
May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a daily maximum of exactly 25°C on May 16 amid typical early-May subtropical conditions with moderate humidity and light winds. This verified reading from the agency’s primary surface station aligns precisely with the market’s dominant 98.5% implied probability for the 25°C outcome. Historical climatology shows May highs averaging near 28–29°C, yet localized cooling from recent frontal passages and cloud cover produced the lower peak. Minor forecast revisions or station-specific discrepancies could theoretically alter resolution, though the final official data release leaves little room for deviation from the recorded value.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$303,967结束日期
2026-05-16市场开放时间
May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a daily maximum of exactly 25°C on May 16 amid typical early-May subtropical conditions with moderate humidity and light winds. This verified reading from the agency’s primary surface station aligns precisely with the market’s dominant 98.5% implied probability for the 25°C outcome. Historical climatology shows May highs averaging near 28–29°C, yet localized cooling from recent frontal passages and cloud cover produced the lower peak. Minor forecast revisions or station-specific discrepancies could theoretically alter resolution, though the final official data release leaves little room for deviation from the recorded value.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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