Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting numerical weather prediction ensembles point to a daytime maximum near 25°C on May 17, driven by a stable subtropical high-pressure system promoting subsidence alongside a moist easterly flow that sustains cloud cover and limits solar heating. This consensus aligns with observed conditions and explains the market-implied odds of 99.9% for exactly 25°C, well below the climatological May average of 28–31°C. An unexpected reduction in cloud cover or a late shift in steering winds could allow brief additional warming and push the reading to 26°C or higher, though current model runs show limited divergence on this final day of observation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月17日香港气温最高？
5月17日香港气温最高？
25°C 99.8%
26°C <1%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
$265,903 交易量
$265,903 交易量
2026-05-17
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 99.8%
26°C <1%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
$265,903 交易量
$265,903 交易量
2026-05-17
19°C or below
$3,029 交易量
<1%
20°C
$2,037 交易量
<1%
21°C
$2,261 交易量
<1%
22°C
$1,657 交易量
<1%
23°C
$6,693 交易量
<1%
24°C
$38,211 交易量
<1%
25°C
$103,702 交易量
100%
26°C
$55,017 交易量
<1%
27°C
$24,343 交易量
<1%
28°C
$12,547 交易量
<1%
29°C or higher
$16,419 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting numerical weather prediction ensembles point to a daytime maximum near 25°C on May 17, driven by a stable subtropical high-pressure system promoting subsidence alongside a moist easterly flow that sustains cloud cover and limits solar heating. This consensus aligns with observed conditions and explains the market-implied odds of 99.9% for exactly 25°C, well below the climatological May average of 28–31°C. An unexpected reduction in cloud cover or a late shift in steering winds could allow brief additional warming and push the reading to 26°C or higher, though current model runs show limited divergence on this final day of observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$265,903结束日期
2026-05-17市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting numerical weather prediction ensembles point to a daytime maximum near 25°C on May 17, driven by a stable subtropical high-pressure system promoting subsidence alongside a moist easterly flow that sustains cloud cover and limits solar heating. This consensus aligns with observed conditions and explains the market-implied odds of 99.9% for exactly 25°C, well below the climatological May average of 28–31°C. An unexpected reduction in cloud cover or a late shift in steering winds could allow brief additional warming and push the reading to 26°C or higher, though current model runs show limited divergence on this final day of observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$265,903结束日期
2026-05-17市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETOfficial forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting numerical weather prediction ensembles point to a daytime maximum near 25°C on May 17, driven by a stable subtropical high-pressure system promoting subsidence alongside a moist easterly flow that sustains cloud cover and limits solar heating. This consensus aligns with observed conditions and explains the market-implied odds of 99.9% for exactly 25°C, well below the climatological May average of 28–31°C. An unexpected reduction in cloud cover or a late shift in steering winds could allow brief additional warming and push the reading to 26°C or higher, though current model runs show limited divergence on this final day of observation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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