Recent National Weather Service model consensus for Houston shows daytime highs likely peaking between 100–103°F on July 22 amid typical July subtropical ridging and light winds that limit mixing. The near-even split between 100–101°F and 102–103°F outcomes reflects small but operationally significant differences in how guidance handles afternoon dew points near 75°F and any subtle boundary-layer moisture transport from the Gulf. Updated runs tomorrow morning from the GFS and ECMWF, plus local mesonet observations, will clarify whether a brief sea-breeze or slight veering flow keeps readings capped near 100°F or allows full insolation to push past 102°F. Historical July extremes for the city provide context but carry limited weight given current steering patterns.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月22日休斯顿的最高温度?
102-103°F 37%
100-101°F 35%
98-99°F 15%
104-105°F 13%
87°F或以下
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
3%
98-99°F
15%
100-101°F
35%
102-103°F
37%
104-105°F
13%
106°F或更高
3%
102-103°F 37%
100-101°F 35%
98-99°F 15%
104-105°F 13%
87°F或以下
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
3%
98-99°F
15%
100-101°F
35%
102-103°F
37%
104-105°F
13%
106°F或更高
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jul 20, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service model consensus for Houston shows daytime highs likely peaking between 100–103°F on July 22 amid typical July subtropical ridging and light winds that limit mixing. The near-even split between 100–101°F and 102–103°F outcomes reflects small but operationally significant differences in how guidance handles afternoon dew points near 75°F and any subtle boundary-layer moisture transport from the Gulf. Updated runs tomorrow morning from the GFS and ECMWF, plus local mesonet observations, will clarify whether a brief sea-breeze or slight veering flow keeps readings capped near 100°F or allows full insolation to push past 102°F. Historical July extremes for the city provide context but carry limited weight given current steering patterns.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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