Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System place Istanbul’s peak temperature on May 17 near the mid-May climatological average of 20–22 °C, with model consensus favoring a high of 20–21 °C under moderate southeasterly flow and limited moisture. This alignment underpins the market-implied odds of 100% for 22 °C as the highest reading. Official observations at Istanbul Airport, the resolution source, have historically tracked closely with these guidance products during stable spring conditions. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted marine layer intrusion, rapid wind shift, or localized convective cooling that caps readings below the threshold before midnight.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月17日伊斯坦布尔的最高温度？
5月17日伊斯坦布尔的最高温度？
22°C 100.0%
23°C <1%
24°C or higher <1%
$61,208 交易量
$61,208 交易量
2026-05-17
22°C
100%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
22°C 100.0%
23°C <1%
24°C or higher <1%
$61,208 交易量
$61,208 交易量
2026-05-17
22°C
$8,609 交易量
100%
23°C
$6,684 交易量
<1%
24°C or higher
$11,327 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System place Istanbul’s peak temperature on May 17 near the mid-May climatological average of 20–22 °C, with model consensus favoring a high of 20–21 °C under moderate southeasterly flow and limited moisture. This alignment underpins the market-implied odds of 100% for 22 °C as the highest reading. Official observations at Istanbul Airport, the resolution source, have historically tracked closely with these guidance products during stable spring conditions. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted marine layer intrusion, rapid wind shift, or localized convective cooling that caps readings below the threshold before midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$61,208结束日期
2026-05-17市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System place Istanbul’s peak temperature on May 17 near the mid-May climatological average of 20–22 °C, with model consensus favoring a high of 20–21 °C under moderate southeasterly flow and limited moisture. This alignment underpins the market-implied odds of 100% for 22 °C as the highest reading. Official observations at Istanbul Airport, the resolution source, have historically tracked closely with these guidance products during stable spring conditions. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted marine layer intrusion, rapid wind shift, or localized convective cooling that caps readings below the threshold before midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$61,208结束日期
2026-05-17市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System place Istanbul’s peak temperature on May 17 near the mid-May climatological average of 20–22 °C, with model consensus favoring a high of 20–21 °C under moderate southeasterly flow and limited moisture. This alignment underpins the market-implied odds of 100% for 22 °C as the highest reading. Official observations at Istanbul Airport, the resolution source, have historically tracked closely with these guidance products during stable spring conditions. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted marine layer intrusion, rapid wind shift, or localized convective cooling that caps readings below the threshold before midnight.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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