Current forecast guidance from regional models points to a daytime peak near 20–21°C in Istanbul on May 18, with light winds and limited cloud cover allowing modest solar heating under typical mid-May spring conditions. This aligns closely with long-term climatology, where Istanbul’s average daily maximum ranges 20–22°C amid mixed Black Sea and Mediterranean air influences. Subtle model differences in timing of peak warmth, boundary-layer mixing, and any localized sea-breeze effects explain the tight clustering of implied probabilities around 20°C and 21°C. Official resolution will rely on the Turkish State Meteorological Service’s verified station readings, which can vary slightly by microclimate; traders should monitor the final 24-hour model updates for any last adjustments to the thermal profile.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月18日伊斯坦布尔的最高温度？
5月18日伊斯坦布尔的最高温度？
21°C 32%
20°C 29%
22°C 19%
19°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-05-18
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
6%
19°C
12%
20°C
29%
21°C
32%
22°C
19%
23°C or higher
6%
21°C 32%
20°C 29%
22°C 19%
19°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-05-18
13°C or below
$397 交易量
<1%
14°C
$456 交易量
<1%
15°C
$854 交易量
<1%
16°C
$595 交易量
1%
17°C
$1,666 交易量
1%
18°C
$678 交易量
6%
19°C
$432 交易量
12%
20°C
$95 交易量
29%
21°C
$139 交易量
32%
22°C
$173 交易量
19%
23°C or higher
$218 交易量
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast guidance from regional models points to a daytime peak near 20–21°C in Istanbul on May 18, with light winds and limited cloud cover allowing modest solar heating under typical mid-May spring conditions. This aligns closely with long-term climatology, where Istanbul’s average daily maximum ranges 20–22°C amid mixed Black Sea and Mediterranean air influences. Subtle model differences in timing of peak warmth, boundary-layer mixing, and any localized sea-breeze effects explain the tight clustering of implied probabilities around 20°C and 21°C. Official resolution will rely on the Turkish State Meteorological Service’s verified station readings, which can vary slightly by microclimate; traders should monitor the final 24-hour model updates for any last adjustments to the thermal profile.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$5,702结束日期
2026-05-18市场开放时间
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast guidance from regional models points to a daytime peak near 20–21°C in Istanbul on May 18, with light winds and limited cloud cover allowing modest solar heating under typical mid-May spring conditions. This aligns closely with long-term climatology, where Istanbul’s average daily maximum ranges 20–22°C amid mixed Black Sea and Mediterranean air influences. Subtle model differences in timing of peak warmth, boundary-layer mixing, and any localized sea-breeze effects explain the tight clustering of implied probabilities around 20°C and 21°C. Official resolution will rely on the Turkish State Meteorological Service’s verified station readings, which can vary slightly by microclimate; traders should monitor the final 24-hour model updates for any last adjustments to the thermal profile.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$5,702结束日期
2026-05-18市场开放时间
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETCurrent forecast guidance from regional models points to a daytime peak near 20–21°C in Istanbul on May 18, with light winds and limited cloud cover allowing modest solar heating under typical mid-May spring conditions. This aligns closely with long-term climatology, where Istanbul’s average daily maximum ranges 20–22°C amid mixed Black Sea and Mediterranean air influences. Subtle model differences in timing of peak warmth, boundary-layer mixing, and any localized sea-breeze effects explain the tight clustering of implied probabilities around 20°C and 21°C. Official resolution will rely on the Turkish State Meteorological Service’s verified station readings, which can vary slightly by microclimate; traders should monitor the final 24-hour model updates for any last adjustments to the thermal profile.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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