Persistent heatwave conditions across northern Italy, fueled by a strong subtropical high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies, subsidence warming, and reduced cloud cover, position 34–35°C as the most probable peak temperatures for Milan on August 12. Official monitoring shows recent daily highs near 37°C amid Italy’s fourth summer heat episode, with red alerts issued for Milan and other cities as values approach 40°C in vulnerable areas. The Po Valley’s topographic trapping of warm air and high humidity amplify daytime maxima, though model consensus indicates gradual moderation by mid-month. Trader consensus around these levels reflects historical August averages of 28–31°C combined with current anomalous warmth, while lower or higher outliers remain discounted pending updated ECMWF or national meteorological guidance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月12日米兰的最高温度？
8月12日米兰的最高温度？
35°C 40%
34°C 30%
33°C 20%
36°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-12
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
3%
33°C
20%
34°C
30%
35°C
40%
36°C
10%
37°C
4%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
1%
35°C 40%
34°C 30%
33°C 20%
36°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-12
29°C or below
$121 交易量
<1%
30°C
$67 交易量
<1%
31°C
$24 交易量
1%
32°C
$56 交易量
3%
33°C
$712 交易量
20%
34°C
$161 交易量
30%
35°C
$150 交易量
40%
36°C
$154 交易量
10%
37°C
$11 交易量
4%
38°C
$17 交易量
1%
39°C or higher
$18 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent heatwave conditions across northern Italy, fueled by a strong subtropical high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies, subsidence warming, and reduced cloud cover, position 34–35°C as the most probable peak temperatures for Milan on August 12. Official monitoring shows recent daily highs near 37°C amid Italy’s fourth summer heat episode, with red alerts issued for Milan and other cities as values approach 40°C in vulnerable areas. The Po Valley’s topographic trapping of warm air and high humidity amplify daytime maxima, though model consensus indicates gradual moderation by mid-month. Trader consensus around these levels reflects historical August averages of 28–31°C combined with current anomalous warmth, while lower or higher outliers remain discounted pending updated ECMWF or national meteorological guidance.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$1,453结束日期
2026-08-12市场开放时间
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent heatwave conditions across northern Italy, fueled by a strong subtropical high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies, subsidence warming, and reduced cloud cover, position 34–35°C as the most probable peak temperatures for Milan on August 12. Official monitoring shows recent daily highs near 37°C amid Italy’s fourth summer heat episode, with red alerts issued for Milan and other cities as values approach 40°C in vulnerable areas. The Po Valley’s topographic trapping of warm air and high humidity amplify daytime maxima, though model consensus indicates gradual moderation by mid-month. Trader consensus around these levels reflects historical August averages of 28–31°C combined with current anomalous warmth, while lower or higher outliers remain discounted pending updated ECMWF or national meteorological guidance.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,453结束日期
2026-08-12市场开放时间
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETPersistent heatwave conditions across northern Italy, fueled by a strong subtropical high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies, subsidence warming, and reduced cloud cover, position 34–35°C as the most probable peak temperatures for Milan on August 12. Official monitoring shows recent daily highs near 37°C amid Italy’s fourth summer heat episode, with red alerts issued for Milan and other cities as values approach 40°C in vulnerable areas. The Po Valley’s topographic trapping of warm air and high humidity amplify daytime maxima, though model consensus indicates gradual moderation by mid-month. Trader consensus around these levels reflects historical August averages of 28–31°C combined with current anomalous warmth, while lower or higher outliers remain discounted pending updated ECMWF or national meteorological guidance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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