Latest numerical weather prediction models from European meteorological centers indicate a high near 17°C in Munich on June 11, driven by a westerly flow bringing mild Atlantic air under partly cloudy skies with isolated showers. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around this value, consistent with mid-June climatology where daily maxima average 21–22°C but cool anomalies from recent troughing have suppressed readings. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 16–17°C outcomes, reflecting model consensus while acknowledging potential for slight revisions from updated runs or local urban heat effects. Resolution hinges on official maximum readings, with any intensification of showers or clearer conditions able to shift the final value by 1–2°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月11日慕尼黑气温最高?
17°C 45%
16°C 36%
15°C 11%
18°C 6.7%
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
11%
16°C
36%
17°C
45%
18°C
7%
19°C
3%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
17°C 45%
16°C 36%
15°C 11%
18°C 6.7%
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
11%
16°C
36%
17°C
45%
18°C
7%
19°C
3%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 9, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest numerical weather prediction models from European meteorological centers indicate a high near 17°C in Munich on June 11, driven by a westerly flow bringing mild Atlantic air under partly cloudy skies with isolated showers. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around this value, consistent with mid-June climatology where daily maxima average 21–22°C but cool anomalies from recent troughing have suppressed readings. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 16–17°C outcomes, reflecting model consensus while acknowledging potential for slight revisions from updated runs or local urban heat effects. Resolution hinges on official maximum readings, with any intensification of showers or clearer conditions able to shift the final value by 1–2°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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