Forecast consensus from Meteo-France and supporting models points to a daytime high near 19°C in Paris on June 11 under predominantly cloudy skies with light winds and minimal precipitation. This aligns with the market’s leading 41% implied probability for 19°C, followed by 18°C at 29.5% and 20°C at 19.5%. Recent observational trends and ensemble guidance show stable, seasonably mild conditions without significant warm-air advection or clear-sky heating that would push readings higher. With the date now less than 24 hours away, resolution hinges on final hourly readings at the designated station; any last-minute model adjustments remain unlikely to alter the central tendency.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月11日巴黎气温最高?
19°C 40%
18°C 30%
20°C 20%
21°C 5%
14°C或以下
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
4%
18°C
30%
19°C
40%
20°C
20%
21°C
5%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C或更高
<1%
19°C 40%
18°C 30%
20°C 20%
21°C 5%
14°C或以下
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
4%
18°C
30%
19°C
40%
20°C
20%
21°C
5%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 9, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast consensus from Meteo-France and supporting models points to a daytime high near 19°C in Paris on June 11 under predominantly cloudy skies with light winds and minimal precipitation. This aligns with the market’s leading 41% implied probability for 19°C, followed by 18°C at 29.5% and 20°C at 19.5%. Recent observational trends and ensemble guidance show stable, seasonably mild conditions without significant warm-air advection or clear-sky heating that would push readings higher. With the date now less than 24 hours away, resolution hinges on final hourly readings at the designated station; any last-minute model adjustments remain unlikely to alter the central tendency.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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