Official observations from the National Weather Service at San Francisco International Airport recorded a daytime maximum temperature near or above the 68°F climatological normal for mid-May, establishing a strong scientific basis for the market's near-certain positioning on the 68°F or higher outcome. This aligns with typical spring patterns where moderating marine air layers give way to inland heating under clear skies, pushing highs into the upper 60s or low 70s without triggering extreme heat advisories. Model consensus from NOAA supported minimal deviation, with no significant frontal passages or fog intrusions altering the trajectory. Resolution hinges on final verified station data; only an unexpected post-event quality-control revision could shift the outcome, though historical precedents show such adjustments are rare for this station.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月17日旧金山气温最高？
5月17日旧金山气温最高？
68°F or higher 100.0%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$26,305 交易量
$26,305 交易量
2026-05-17
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68°F or higher
100%
68°F or higher 100.0%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$26,305 交易量
$26,305 交易量
2026-05-17
64-65°F
$5,365 交易量
<1%
66-67°F
$4,496 交易量
<1%
68°F or higher
$3,383 交易量
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the National Weather Service at San Francisco International Airport recorded a daytime maximum temperature near or above the 68°F climatological normal for mid-May, establishing a strong scientific basis for the market's near-certain positioning on the 68°F or higher outcome. This aligns with typical spring patterns where moderating marine air layers give way to inland heating under clear skies, pushing highs into the upper 60s or low 70s without triggering extreme heat advisories. Model consensus from NOAA supported minimal deviation, with no significant frontal passages or fog intrusions altering the trajectory. Resolution hinges on final verified station data; only an unexpected post-event quality-control revision could shift the outcome, though historical precedents show such adjustments are rare for this station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$26,305结束日期
2026-05-17市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the National Weather Service at San Francisco International Airport recorded a daytime maximum temperature near or above the 68°F climatological normal for mid-May, establishing a strong scientific basis for the market's near-certain positioning on the 68°F or higher outcome. This aligns with typical spring patterns where moderating marine air layers give way to inland heating under clear skies, pushing highs into the upper 60s or low 70s without triggering extreme heat advisories. Model consensus from NOAA supported minimal deviation, with no significant frontal passages or fog intrusions altering the trajectory. Resolution hinges on final verified station data; only an unexpected post-event quality-control revision could shift the outcome, though historical precedents show such adjustments are rare for this station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$26,305结束日期
2026-05-17市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETOfficial observations from the National Weather Service at San Francisco International Airport recorded a daytime maximum temperature near or above the 68°F climatological normal for mid-May, establishing a strong scientific basis for the market's near-certain positioning on the 68°F or higher outcome. This aligns with typical spring patterns where moderating marine air layers give way to inland heating under clear skies, pushing highs into the upper 60s or low 70s without triggering extreme heat advisories. Model consensus from NOAA supported minimal deviation, with no significant frontal passages or fog intrusions altering the trajectory. Resolution hinges on final verified station data; only an unexpected post-event quality-control revision could shift the outcome, though historical precedents show such adjustments are rare for this station.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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