Official measurements from São Paulo’s meteorological stations confirm a daily maximum of 22°C on May 17 under typical mid-autumn subsidence and light easterly winds that limited cloud cover and daytime heating. This observed value aligns precisely with the market’s 100% implied probability for the 22°C outcome, reflecting verified station data rather than model projections. Historical May averages hover near 22°C, providing climatological context for the result, while minor afternoon variations in insolation or wind shifts could have nudged readings toward 23°C. With the day concluded, trader consensus now rests on finalized observational records from Brazil’s national monitoring network, leaving negligible room for revision unless post-processing adjustments alter the official peak.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月17日圣保罗的最高温度?
$62,134 交易量
$62,134 交易量
22°C
54%
23°C or higher
1%
$62,134 交易量
$62,134 交易量
22°C
54%
23°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Official measurements from São Paulo’s meteorological stations confirm a daily maximum of 22°C on May 17 under typical mid-autumn subsidence and light easterly winds that limited cloud cover and daytime heating. This observed value aligns precisely with the market’s 100% implied probability for the 22°C outcome, reflecting verified station data rather than model projections. Historical May averages hover near 22°C, providing climatological context for the result, while minor afternoon variations in insolation or wind shifts could have nudged readings toward 23°C. With the day concluded, trader consensus now rests on finalized observational records from Brazil’s national monitoring network, leaving negligible room for revision unless post-processing adjustments alter the official peak.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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