Ongoing heatwave conditions across South Korea, reinforced by a strengthening El Niño event with Niño 3.4 sea surface temperature anomalies exceeding +2°C, underpin trader focus on the 34–36°C range for the Incheon measurement on August 4. Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance currently projects a daytime maximum of 34°C under mostly clear skies with low precipitation chances, consistent with the market’s narrow spread where 34°C holds a slim edge at 29% implied probability. High humidity and urban heat island effects in the Seoul-Incheon corridor can elevate observed values above model guidance, while any late-day sea breeze or isolated convection could cap the peak nearer 33°C. Updated KMA and ensemble model runs through August 3 will provide the key data shifts ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月4日首尔（仁川）气温最高？
8月4日首尔（仁川）气温最高？
34°C 29%
35°C 28%
36°C 24%
33°C 18%
最新
最新
2026-08-04
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
4%
33°C
18%
34°C
29%
35°C
28%
36°C
24%
37°C
4%
38°C or higher
2%
34°C 29%
35°C 28%
36°C 24%
33°C 18%
最新
最新
2026-08-04
28°C or below
$184 交易量
<1%
29°C
$107 交易量
1%
30°C
$153 交易量
1%
31°C
$156 交易量
2%
32°C
$175 交易量
4%
33°C
$148 交易量
18%
34°C
$116 交易量
29%
35°C
$118 交易量
28%
36°C
$506 交易量
24%
37°C
$386 交易量
4%
38°C or higher
$76 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing heatwave conditions across South Korea, reinforced by a strengthening El Niño event with Niño 3.4 sea surface temperature anomalies exceeding +2°C, underpin trader focus on the 34–36°C range for the Incheon measurement on August 4. Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance currently projects a daytime maximum of 34°C under mostly clear skies with low precipitation chances, consistent with the market’s narrow spread where 34°C holds a slim edge at 29% implied probability. High humidity and urban heat island effects in the Seoul-Incheon corridor can elevate observed values above model guidance, while any late-day sea breeze or isolated convection could cap the peak nearer 33°C. Updated KMA and ensemble model runs through August 3 will provide the key data shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$2,125结束日期
2026-08-04市场开放时间
Aug 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing heatwave conditions across South Korea, reinforced by a strengthening El Niño event with Niño 3.4 sea surface temperature anomalies exceeding +2°C, underpin trader focus on the 34–36°C range for the Incheon measurement on August 4. Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance currently projects a daytime maximum of 34°C under mostly clear skies with low precipitation chances, consistent with the market’s narrow spread where 34°C holds a slim edge at 29% implied probability. High humidity and urban heat island effects in the Seoul-Incheon corridor can elevate observed values above model guidance, while any late-day sea breeze or isolated convection could cap the peak nearer 33°C. Updated KMA and ensemble model runs through August 3 will provide the key data shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,125结束日期
2026-08-04市场开放时间
Aug 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ETOngoing heatwave conditions across South Korea, reinforced by a strengthening El Niño event with Niño 3.4 sea surface temperature anomalies exceeding +2°C, underpin trader focus on the 34–36°C range for the Incheon measurement on August 4. Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance currently projects a daytime maximum of 34°C under mostly clear skies with low precipitation chances, consistent with the market’s narrow spread where 34°C holds a slim edge at 29% implied probability. High humidity and urban heat island effects in the Seoul-Incheon corridor can elevate observed values above model guidance, while any late-day sea breeze or isolated convection could cap the peak nearer 33°C. Updated KMA and ensemble model runs through August 3 will provide the key data shifts ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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