Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate that Seoul will likely experience a mild late-spring day on May 18, with daytime heating under generally clear skies and light southwesterly winds favoring maximum temperatures of 25°C or higher. This outlook aligns with climatological patterns for mid-May, when average highs reach 23–26°C amid lengthening daylight and the gradual retreat of cooler northerly air masses. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability, with no significant frontal systems expected to suppress warmth before the observation period closes. Traders have priced in this stability, assigning over 78% implied probability to the 25°C threshold while assigning minimal weight to cooler outcomes that would require an unseasonal cold surge.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月18日首尔气温最高?
25°C or higher 81%
24°C 18%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$82,060 交易量
$82,060 交易量
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
18%
25°C or higher
81%
25°C or higher 81%
24°C 18%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$82,060 交易量
$82,060 交易量
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
18%
25°C or higher
81%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate that Seoul will likely experience a mild late-spring day on May 18, with daytime heating under generally clear skies and light southwesterly winds favoring maximum temperatures of 25°C or higher. This outlook aligns with climatological patterns for mid-May, when average highs reach 23–26°C amid lengthening daylight and the gradual retreat of cooler northerly air masses. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability, with no significant frontal systems expected to suppress warmth before the observation period closes. Traders have priced in this stability, assigning over 78% implied probability to the 25°C threshold while assigning minimal weight to cooler outcomes that would require an unseasonal cold surge.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题