Recent Korea Meteorological Administration and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts model runs indicate a daytime high of 24–25 °C for Seoul on May 19, driven by clear skies, light southerly winds, and warm advection under a weakening upper-level ridge. This places the expected maximum squarely within the historical mid-May climatological range of 22–25 °C recorded at the official Seoul Central Observatory. With leading market outcomes for 24 °C, 25 °C, and 26 °C separated by only a few percentage points, traders are pricing in genuine forecast uncertainty from small revisions in model guidance, localized urban heat island effects, and the precise timing of any late-day sea-breeze cooling before final resolution on official observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月19日首尔气温最高?
25°C 30%
24°C 24%
26°C 21%
23°C 16%
18°C或以下
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
5%
23°C
16%
24°C
24%
25°C
30%
26°C
21%
27°C
11%
28°C或以上
1%
25°C 30%
24°C 24%
26°C 21%
23°C 16%
18°C或以下
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
5%
23°C
16%
24°C
24%
25°C
30%
26°C
21%
27°C
11%
28°C或以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 17, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent Korea Meteorological Administration and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts model runs indicate a daytime high of 24–25 °C for Seoul on May 19, driven by clear skies, light southerly winds, and warm advection under a weakening upper-level ridge. This places the expected maximum squarely within the historical mid-May climatological range of 22–25 °C recorded at the official Seoul Central Observatory. With leading market outcomes for 24 °C, 25 °C, and 26 °C separated by only a few percentage points, traders are pricing in genuine forecast uncertainty from small revisions in model guidance, localized urban heat island effects, and the precise timing of any late-day sea-breeze cooling before final resolution on official observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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