**Forecast consensus across major models positions a maximum of 32°C as the most probable outcome for Tel Aviv on September 5.** Persistent high pressure, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light westerly winds are expected to support daytime heating to around 30–32°C, consistent with late-summer eastern Mediterranean climatology where September highs typically average near 29–30°C. Recent observations from early September show similar stable conditions with daily maxima of 31–32°C and minimal model spread, reinforcing trader confidence in the 32°C bin at 70.5% implied probability. Minor uncertainties remain around exact peak timing, urban heat island effects, or slight forecast revisions before resolution, which could shift odds toward 31°C or 33°C if afternoon readings edge differently.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月5日特拉维夫的最高温度？
9月5日特拉维夫的最高温度？
32°C 71%
31°C 18%
33°C 11%
30°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-09-05
29°C或以下
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
18%
32°C
71%
33°C
11%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39℃或更高
<1%
32°C 71%
31°C 18%
33°C 11%
30°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-09-05
29°C或以下
$205 交易量
1%
30°C
$64 交易量
4%
31°C
$992 交易量
18%
32°C
$967 交易量
71%
33°C
$208 交易量
11%
34°C
$107 交易量
2%
35°C
$96 交易量
1%
36°C
$180 交易量
1%
37°C
$38 交易量
<1%
38°C
$358 交易量
<1%
39℃或更高
$391 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus across major models positions a maximum of 32°C as the most probable outcome for Tel Aviv on September 5.** Persistent high pressure, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light westerly winds are expected to support daytime heating to around 30–32°C, consistent with late-summer eastern Mediterranean climatology where September highs typically average near 29–30°C. Recent observations from early September show similar stable conditions with daily maxima of 31–32°C and minimal model spread, reinforcing trader confidence in the 32°C bin at 70.5% implied probability. Minor uncertainties remain around exact peak timing, urban heat island effects, or slight forecast revisions before resolution, which could shift odds toward 31°C or 33°C if afternoon readings edge differently.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$3,592结束日期
2026-09-05市场开放时间
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus across major models positions a maximum of 32°C as the most probable outcome for Tel Aviv on September 5.** Persistent high pressure, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light westerly winds are expected to support daytime heating to around 30–32°C, consistent with late-summer eastern Mediterranean climatology where September highs typically average near 29–30°C. Recent observations from early September show similar stable conditions with daily maxima of 31–32°C and minimal model spread, reinforcing trader confidence in the 32°C bin at 70.5% implied probability. Minor uncertainties remain around exact peak timing, urban heat island effects, or slight forecast revisions before resolution, which could shift odds toward 31°C or 33°C if afternoon readings edge differently.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,592结束日期
2026-09-05市场开放时间
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ET**Forecast consensus across major models positions a maximum of 32°C as the most probable outcome for Tel Aviv on September 5.** Persistent high pressure, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light westerly winds are expected to support daytime heating to around 30–32°C, consistent with late-summer eastern Mediterranean climatology where September highs typically average near 29–30°C. Recent observations from early September show similar stable conditions with daily maxima of 31–32°C and minimal model spread, reinforcing trader confidence in the 32°C bin at 70.5% implied probability. Minor uncertainties remain around exact peak timing, urban heat island effects, or slight forecast revisions before resolution, which could shift odds toward 31°C or 33°C if afternoon readings edge differently.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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