Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles for Wuhan point to daytime maxima near 35–37 °C on July 16, driven by the strengthening western Pacific subtropical high and typical East Asian summer monsoon flow that favors warm, humid advection across central China. Lingering effects from Super Typhoon Bavi, which brought heavy rainfall to Hubei province earlier in the week, have introduced variable cloud cover and convective timing that add modest forecast spread. These conditions align with July climatology, where average highs climb toward 35 °C mid-month before peaking later, supporting the market’s concentration of implied probability on 36 °C and 37 °C outcomes while leaving room for slight model shifts before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月16日武汉气温最高？
7月16日武汉气温最高？
36°C 42%
37°C 33%
35°C 18%
38°C 5.5%
最新
最新
2026-07-16
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
3%
35°C
18%
36°C
42%
37°C
33%
38°C
6%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
36°C 42%
37°C 33%
35°C 18%
38°C 5.5%
最新
最新
2026-07-16
31°C or below
$163 交易量
<1%
32°C
$361 交易量
<1%
33°C
$340 交易量
1%
34°C
$469 交易量
3%
35°C
$319 交易量
18%
36°C
$461 交易量
42%
37°C
$707 交易量
33%
38°C
$520 交易量
6%
39°C
$1,356 交易量
1%
40°C
$291 交易量
<1%
41°C or higher
$366 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles for Wuhan point to daytime maxima near 35–37 °C on July 16, driven by the strengthening western Pacific subtropical high and typical East Asian summer monsoon flow that favors warm, humid advection across central China. Lingering effects from Super Typhoon Bavi, which brought heavy rainfall to Hubei province earlier in the week, have introduced variable cloud cover and convective timing that add modest forecast spread. These conditions align with July climatology, where average highs climb toward 35 °C mid-month before peaking later, supporting the market’s concentration of implied probability on 36 °C and 37 °C outcomes while leaving room for slight model shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 14, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$5,354结束日期
2026-07-16市场开放时间
Jul 14, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles for Wuhan point to daytime maxima near 35–37 °C on July 16, driven by the strengthening western Pacific subtropical high and typical East Asian summer monsoon flow that favors warm, humid advection across central China. Lingering effects from Super Typhoon Bavi, which brought heavy rainfall to Hubei province earlier in the week, have introduced variable cloud cover and convective timing that add modest forecast spread. These conditions align with July climatology, where average highs climb toward 35 °C mid-month before peaking later, supporting the market’s concentration of implied probability on 36 °C and 37 °C outcomes while leaving room for slight model shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,354结束日期
2026-07-16市场开放时间
Jul 14, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent numerical weather prediction ensembles for Wuhan point to daytime maxima near 35–37 °C on July 16, driven by the strengthening western Pacific subtropical high and typical East Asian summer monsoon flow that favors warm, humid advection across central China. Lingering effects from Super Typhoon Bavi, which brought heavy rainfall to Hubei province earlier in the week, have introduced variable cloud cover and convective timing that add modest forecast spread. These conditions align with July climatology, where average highs climb toward 35 °C mid-month before peaking later, supporting the market’s concentration of implied probability on 36 °C and 37 °C outcomes while leaving room for slight model shifts before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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