Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a 10–15 second handshake between President Trump and President Xi Jinping, driven by video footage from their May 14, 2026, Beijing summit welcome ceremony, where the grip lasted visibly around 12 seconds amid mutual arm taps and smiles before bilateral talks. This aligns with historical patterns from their prior encounters, like the October 2025 meeting's extended clasp, reflecting Trump's signature style in high-stakes diplomacy. The near-certainty stems from clear, timestamped media clips shared widely, embodying the wisdom of crowds in real-time assessment. Only a disputed timing from alternative footage or official clarification could challenge this, though none has emerged amid positive summit optics on trade and ties.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于10–15秒 100.0%
不握手 <1%
<2秒 <1%
2–6秒 <1%
$1,454,150 交易量
$1,454,150 交易量
2026-12-31
不握手
否
<2秒
否
2–6秒
否
6–10秒
否
10–15秒
是
15秒及以上
否
仅被拍照
否
10–15秒 100.0%
不握手 <1%
<2秒 <1%
2–6秒 <1%
$1,454,150 交易量
$1,454,150 交易量
2026-12-31
不握手
$126,420 交易量
否
<2秒
$96,321 交易量
否
2–6秒
$157,842 交易量
否
6–10秒
$313,270 交易量
否
10–15秒
$250,490 交易量
是
15秒及以上
$404,985 交易量
否
仅被拍照
$104,824 交易量
否
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a 10–15 second handshake between President Trump and President Xi Jinping, driven by video footage from their May 14, 2026, Beijing summit welcome ceremony, where the grip lasted visibly around 12 seconds amid mutual arm taps and smiles before bilateral talks. This aligns with historical patterns from their prior encounters, like the October 2025 meeting's extended clasp, reflecting Trump's signature style in high-stakes diplomacy. The near-certainty stems from clear, timestamped media clips shared widely, embodying the wisdom of crowds in real-time assessment. Only a disputed timing from alternative footage or official clarification could challenge this, though none has emerged amid positive summit optics on trade and ties.
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
市场开放时间： Feb 10, 2026, 6:58 PM ET
交易量
$1,454,150结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Feb 10, 2026, 6:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a 10–15 second handshake between President Trump and President Xi Jinping, driven by video footage from their May 14, 2026, Beijing summit welcome ceremony, where the grip lasted visibly around 12 seconds amid mutual arm taps and smiles before bilateral talks. This aligns with historical patterns from their prior encounters, like the October 2025 meeting's extended clasp, reflecting Trump's signature style in high-stakes diplomacy. The near-certainty stems from clear, timestamped media clips shared widely, embodying the wisdom of crowds in real-time assessment. Only a disputed timing from alternative footage or official clarification could challenge this, though none has emerged amid positive summit optics on trade and ties.
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
交易量
$1,454,150结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Feb 10, 2026, 6:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a 10–15 second handshake between President Trump and President Xi Jinping, driven by video footage from their May 14, 2026, Beijing summit welcome ceremony, where the grip lasted visibly around 12 seconds amid mutual arm taps and smiles before bilateral talks. This aligns with historical patterns from their prior encounters, like the October 2025 meeting's extended clasp, reflecting Trump's signature style in high-stakes diplomacy. The near-certainty stems from clear, timestamped media clips shared widely, embodying the wisdom of crowds in real-time assessment. Only a disputed timing from alternative footage or official clarification could challenge this, though none has emerged amid positive summit optics on trade and ties.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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