**Trader consensus heavily favors an 11°C low in Amsterdam on September 21, driven by the latest numerical weather prediction runs from models like GFS projecting an overnight minimum near 12–13°C under stable high pressure and light northwest winds.** Current observations show partly to mostly cloudy skies with temperatures holding in the mid-teens Celsius during the afternoon, consistent with a mild late-summer pattern rather than strong radiational cooling. Historical September 21 averages place the typical low around 10.5°C, but recent model consensus and surface observations support a slightly warmer floor. Resolution hinges on the official station reading, typically rounded to whole degrees; a brief clear spell or measurement variance could still shift the exact value within a narrow range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月21日阿姆斯特丹的最低温度？
9月21日阿姆斯特丹的最低温度？
11°C 95%
8°C 22%
9°C 16%
7°C或以下 9%
$1,848 交易量
$1,848 交易量
2026-09-21
7°C或以下
9%
8°C
22%
9°C
16%
10°C
-
11°C
95%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C或更高
<1%
11°C 95%
8°C 22%
9°C 16%
7°C或以下 9%
$1,848 交易量
$1,848 交易量
2026-09-21
7°C或以下
$0 交易量
9%
8°C
$0 交易量
22%
9°C
$0 交易量
16%
10°C
$43 交易量
-
11°C
$125 交易量
95%
12°C
$194 交易量
<1%
13°C
$746 交易量
<1%
14°C
$635 交易量
<1%
15°C
$35 交易量
<1%
16°C
$35 交易量
<1%
17°C或更高
$35 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors an 11°C low in Amsterdam on September 21, driven by the latest numerical weather prediction runs from models like GFS projecting an overnight minimum near 12–13°C under stable high pressure and light northwest winds.**
Current observations show partly to mostly cloudy skies with temperatures holding in the mid-teens Celsius during the afternoon, consistent with a mild late-summer pattern rather than strong radiational cooling. Historical September 21 averages place the typical low around 10.5°C, but recent model consensus and surface observations support a slightly warmer floor. Resolution hinges on the official station reading, typically rounded to whole degrees; a brief clear spell or measurement variance could still shift the exact value within a narrow range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 19, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$1,848结束日期
2026-09-21市场开放时间
Sep 19, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors an 11°C low in Amsterdam on September 21, driven by the latest numerical weather prediction runs from models like GFS projecting an overnight minimum near 12–13°C under stable high pressure and light northwest winds.**
Current observations show partly to mostly cloudy skies with temperatures holding in the mid-teens Celsius during the afternoon, consistent with a mild late-summer pattern rather than strong radiational cooling. Historical September 21 averages place the typical low around 10.5°C, but recent model consensus and surface observations support a slightly warmer floor. Resolution hinges on the official station reading, typically rounded to whole degrees; a brief clear spell or measurement variance could still shift the exact value within a narrow range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,848结束日期
2026-09-21市场开放时间
Sep 19, 2026, 12:31 AM ET**Trader consensus heavily favors an 11°C low in Amsterdam on September 21, driven by the latest numerical weather prediction runs from models like GFS projecting an overnight minimum near 12–13°C under stable high pressure and light northwest winds.** Current observations show partly to mostly cloudy skies with temperatures holding in the mid-teens Celsius during the afternoon, consistent with a mild late-summer pattern rather than strong radiational cooling. Historical September 21 averages place the typical low around 10.5°C, but recent model consensus and surface observations support a slightly warmer floor. Resolution hinges on the official station reading, typically rounded to whole degrees; a brief clear spell or measurement variance could still shift the exact value within a narrow range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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