**Forecast consensus for Busan on September 21 points to a minimum near 18–20°C under clear to mostly clear skies and moderate northeasterly flow.** Multiple models and agencies (including KMA-influenced outlooks, PredictWind, Met Office, and others) show overnight lows in this range, with daytime highs around 26–28°C and negligible precipitation risk. Primary drivers include a stable high-pressure ridge promoting radiative cooling overnight, tempered by Busan’s coastal location and persistent NE winds (typically 10–15 kt) that limit extreme drops by advecting slightly warmer marine air. No approaching fronts, typhoons, or significant cloud cover are indicated in the latest runs, keeping conditions typical for mid-to-late September climatology (average September lows near 19°C). Trader sentiment shows a near-even split between the 23°C+ outcome (47%) and 13°C or below (44.5%), with specific values clustered around 15–21°C also attracting interest. This reflects model spread and the inherent uncertainty in precise minimum-temperature resolution near the 18–20°C window, where small shifts in wind speed, cloud timing, or boundary-layer mixing can alter the low by 1–2°C. Upcoming model updates and any late adjustments to the high-pressure pattern will likely tighten these probabilities as the night progresses.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月21日釜山气温最低？
9月21日釜山气温最低？
13°C或以下 90%
23°C或更高 89%
15°C 39%
16°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-21
13°C或以下
90%
14°C
13%
15°C
39%
16°C
39%
17°C
24%
18°C
22%
19°C
39%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C
13%
23°C或更高
89%
13°C或以下 90%
23°C或更高 89%
15°C 39%
16°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-21
13°C或以下
$0 交易量
90%
14°C
$0 交易量
13%
15°C
$0 交易量
39%
16°C
$0 交易量
39%
17°C
$0 交易量
24%
18°C
$0 交易量
22%
19°C
$0 交易量
39%
20°C
$0 交易量
39%
21°C
$0 交易量
39%
22°C
$0 交易量
13%
23°C或更高
$0 交易量
89%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus for Busan on September 21 points to a minimum near 18–20°C under clear to mostly clear skies and moderate northeasterly flow.** Multiple models and agencies (including KMA-influenced outlooks, PredictWind, Met Office, and others) show overnight lows in this range, with daytime highs around 26–28°C and negligible precipitation risk.
Primary drivers include a stable high-pressure ridge promoting radiative cooling overnight, tempered by Busan’s coastal location and persistent NE winds (typically 10–15 kt) that limit extreme drops by advecting slightly warmer marine air. No approaching fronts, typhoons, or significant cloud cover are indicated in the latest runs, keeping conditions typical for mid-to-late September climatology (average September lows near 19°C).
Trader sentiment shows a near-even split between the 23°C+ outcome (47%) and 13°C or below (44.5%), with specific values clustered around 15–21°C also attracting interest. This reflects model spread and the inherent uncertainty in precise minimum-temperature resolution near the 18–20°C window, where small shifts in wind speed, cloud timing, or boundary-layer mixing can alter the low by 1–2°C. Upcoming model updates and any late adjustments to the high-pressure pattern will likely tighten these probabilities as the night progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 19, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-21市场开放时间
Sep 19, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus for Busan on September 21 points to a minimum near 18–20°C under clear to mostly clear skies and moderate northeasterly flow.** Multiple models and agencies (including KMA-influenced outlooks, PredictWind, Met Office, and others) show overnight lows in this range, with daytime highs around 26–28°C and negligible precipitation risk.
Primary drivers include a stable high-pressure ridge promoting radiative cooling overnight, tempered by Busan’s coastal location and persistent NE winds (typically 10–15 kt) that limit extreme drops by advecting slightly warmer marine air. No approaching fronts, typhoons, or significant cloud cover are indicated in the latest runs, keeping conditions typical for mid-to-late September climatology (average September lows near 19°C).
Trader sentiment shows a near-even split between the 23°C+ outcome (47%) and 13°C or below (44.5%), with specific values clustered around 15–21°C also attracting interest. This reflects model spread and the inherent uncertainty in precise minimum-temperature resolution near the 18–20°C window, where small shifts in wind speed, cloud timing, or boundary-layer mixing can alter the low by 1–2°C. Upcoming model updates and any late adjustments to the high-pressure pattern will likely tighten these probabilities as the night progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-21市场开放时间
Sep 19, 2026, 12:31 AM ET**Forecast consensus for Busan on September 21 points to a minimum near 18–20°C under clear to mostly clear skies and moderate northeasterly flow.** Multiple models and agencies (including KMA-influenced outlooks, PredictWind, Met Office, and others) show overnight lows in this range, with daytime highs around 26–28°C and negligible precipitation risk. Primary drivers include a stable high-pressure ridge promoting radiative cooling overnight, tempered by Busan’s coastal location and persistent NE winds (typically 10–15 kt) that limit extreme drops by advecting slightly warmer marine air. No approaching fronts, typhoons, or significant cloud cover are indicated in the latest runs, keeping conditions typical for mid-to-late September climatology (average September lows near 19°C). Trader sentiment shows a near-even split between the 23°C+ outcome (47%) and 13°C or below (44.5%), with specific values clustered around 15–21°C also attracting interest. This reflects model spread and the inherent uncertainty in precise minimum-temperature resolution near the 18–20°C window, where small shifts in wind speed, cloud timing, or boundary-layer mixing can alter the low by 1–2°C. Upcoming model updates and any late adjustments to the high-pressure pattern will likely tighten these probabilities as the night progresses.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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