Persistent rainfall and high humidity across Chongqing on September 21 are limiting radiative cooling overnight, keeping minimum temperatures from dropping below the 21°C level favored by traders at 85% implied probability. Official forecasts from regional meteorological sources indicate overnight lows near 21–22°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers, consistent with September climatology where cloud cover and moisture typically moderate diurnal ranges. Model consensus shows little support for cooler outcomes below 20°C absent a clearer air mass or stronger winds, while probabilities for 19°C or lower reflect residual uncertainty in localized measurement sites or brief clearing. Resolution hinges on the official daily minimum recorded by Chongqing meteorological authorities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月21日重庆气温最低？
9月21日重庆气温最低？
21°C 99%
17°C 3%
18°C 3%
20°C 3%
$233 交易量
$233 交易量
2026-09-21
16°C或以下
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
是
22°C
否
23°C
否
24℃
否
25°C
否
26°C或更高
否
21°C 99%
17°C 3%
18°C 3%
20°C 3%
$233 交易量
$233 交易量
2026-09-21
16°C或以下
$0 交易量
否
17°C
$0 交易量
否
18°C
$0 交易量
否
19°C
$0 交易量
否
20°C
$15 交易量
否
21°C
$38 交易量
是
22°C
$52 交易量
否
23°C
$31 交易量
否
24℃
$36 交易量
否
25°C
$31 交易量
否
26°C或更高
$31 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent rainfall and high humidity across Chongqing on September 21 are limiting radiative cooling overnight, keeping minimum temperatures from dropping below the 21°C level favored by traders at 85% implied probability. Official forecasts from regional meteorological sources indicate overnight lows near 21–22°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers, consistent with September climatology where cloud cover and moisture typically moderate diurnal ranges. Model consensus shows little support for cooler outcomes below 20°C absent a clearer air mass or stronger winds, while probabilities for 19°C or lower reflect residual uncertainty in localized measurement sites or brief clearing. Resolution hinges on the official daily minimum recorded by Chongqing meteorological authorities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$233结束日期
2026-09-21市场开放时间
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent rainfall and high humidity across Chongqing on September 21 are limiting radiative cooling overnight, keeping minimum temperatures from dropping below the 21°C level favored by traders at 85% implied probability. Official forecasts from regional meteorological sources indicate overnight lows near 21–22°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers, consistent with September climatology where cloud cover and moisture typically moderate diurnal ranges. Model consensus shows little support for cooler outcomes below 20°C absent a clearer air mass or stronger winds, while probabilities for 19°C or lower reflect residual uncertainty in localized measurement sites or brief clearing. Resolution hinges on the official daily minimum recorded by Chongqing meteorological authorities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$233结束日期
2026-09-21市场开放时间
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Persistent rainfall and high humidity across Chongqing on September 21 are limiting radiative cooling overnight, keeping minimum temperatures from dropping below the 21°C level favored by traders at 85% implied probability. Official forecasts from regional meteorological sources indicate overnight lows near 21–22°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers, consistent with September climatology where cloud cover and moisture typically moderate diurnal ranges. Model consensus shows little support for cooler outcomes below 20°C absent a clearer air mass or stronger winds, while probabilities for 19°C or lower reflect residual uncertainty in localized measurement sites or brief clearing. Resolution hinges on the official daily minimum recorded by Chongqing meteorological authorities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题