Recent forecasts from multiple sources, including regional models, indicate a minimum temperature near 20°C for Chongqing on September 23, with highs around 23–29°C amid continued light rain and high humidity. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation from the East Asian monsoon transition have moderated daytime heating while limiting overnight radiative cooling, keeping lows in the typical late-September range for the humid subtropical climate. The near-even market split between 16°C-or-below and 26°C-or-higher outcomes reflects short-term model uncertainty in steering patterns and rainfall timing, with traders weighting potential for localized cooling versus any clearing that could allow warmer air advection. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月23日重庆气温最低?
16°C或以下 100%
26°C或更高 98%
20°C 40%
21℃ 40%
16°C或以下
100%
17°C
38%
18°C
38%
19°C
38%
20°C
40%
21℃
40%
22°C
40%
23°C
38%
24°C
38%
25°C
38%
26°C或更高
98%
16°C或以下 100%
26°C或更高 98%
20°C 40%
21℃ 40%
16°C或以下
100%
17°C
38%
18°C
38%
19°C
38%
20°C
40%
21℃
40%
22°C
40%
23°C
38%
24°C
38%
25°C
38%
26°C或更高
98%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple sources, including regional models, indicate a minimum temperature near 20°C for Chongqing on September 23, with highs around 23–29°C amid continued light rain and high humidity. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation from the East Asian monsoon transition have moderated daytime heating while limiting overnight radiative cooling, keeping lows in the typical late-September range for the humid subtropical climate. The near-even market split between 16°C-or-below and 26°C-or-higher outcomes reflects short-term model uncertainty in steering patterns and rainfall timing, with traders weighting potential for localized cooling versus any clearing that could allow warmer air advection. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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