Forecasts from GFS and other models indicate a cooler air mass arriving from the north-northwest via the Balkans, accompanied by thunderstorms and northerly winds, driving the primary downward pressure on Istanbul’s overnight minimum for September 14. This shift follows stable late-summer conditions and is expected to produce lows of 16–19 °C, with model consensus centering near 17–18 °C amid variable cloud cover and light precipitation that limits radiative cooling. Higher outcomes near 24 °C would require delayed frontal passage or stronger mixing, while sub-15 °C readings would need faster advection or clearer skies than currently projected. Updated model runs and Turkish State Meteorological Service briefings over the next 12–24 hours will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月14日伊斯坦布尔的最低温度？
9月14日伊斯坦布尔的最低温度？
14°C或以下 64%
24°C或更高 64%
15°C 40%
16°C 40%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
14°C或以下
64%
15°C
40%
16°C
40%
17°C
22%
18°C
32%
19°C
24%
20°C
25%
21°C
19%
22°C
18%
23°C
18%
24°C或更高
64%
14°C或以下 64%
24°C或更高 64%
15°C 40%
16°C 40%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
14°C或以下
$0 交易量
64%
15°C
$0 交易量
40%
16°C
$0 交易量
40%
17°C
$0 交易量
22%
18°C
$5 交易量
32%
19°C
$0 交易量
24%
20°C
$42 交易量
25%
21°C
$0 交易量
19%
22°C
$0 交易量
18%
23°C
$0 交易量
18%
24°C或更高
$0 交易量
64%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from GFS and other models indicate a cooler air mass arriving from the north-northwest via the Balkans, accompanied by thunderstorms and northerly winds, driving the primary downward pressure on Istanbul’s overnight minimum for September 14. This shift follows stable late-summer conditions and is expected to produce lows of 16–19 °C, with model consensus centering near 17–18 °C amid variable cloud cover and light precipitation that limits radiative cooling. Higher outcomes near 24 °C would require delayed frontal passage or stronger mixing, while sub-15 °C readings would need faster advection or clearer skies than currently projected. Updated model runs and Turkish State Meteorological Service briefings over the next 12–24 hours will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$47结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from GFS and other models indicate a cooler air mass arriving from the north-northwest via the Balkans, accompanied by thunderstorms and northerly winds, driving the primary downward pressure on Istanbul’s overnight minimum for September 14. This shift follows stable late-summer conditions and is expected to produce lows of 16–19 °C, with model consensus centering near 17–18 °C amid variable cloud cover and light precipitation that limits radiative cooling. Higher outcomes near 24 °C would require delayed frontal passage or stronger mixing, while sub-15 °C readings would need faster advection or clearer skies than currently projected. Updated model runs and Turkish State Meteorological Service briefings over the next 12–24 hours will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$47结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ETForecasts from GFS and other models indicate a cooler air mass arriving from the north-northwest via the Balkans, accompanied by thunderstorms and northerly winds, driving the primary downward pressure on Istanbul’s overnight minimum for September 14. This shift follows stable late-summer conditions and is expected to produce lows of 16–19 °C, with model consensus centering near 17–18 °C amid variable cloud cover and light precipitation that limits radiative cooling. Higher outcomes near 24 °C would require delayed frontal passage or stronger mixing, while sub-15 °C readings would need faster advection or clearer skies than currently projected. Updated model runs and Turkish State Meteorological Service briefings over the next 12–24 hours will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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