**Trader sentiment for the September 8 London minimum temperature centers on an incoming Atlantic low-pressure system bringing rain and southwesterly winds, which are expected to limit overnight radiative cooling.** Official Met Office guidance points to a daytime high near 21°C and overnight low around 12–14°C amid persistent cloud and showers, while other models show slightly milder conditions near 14–15°C depending on wind strength and clearing timing. With implied probabilities clustered tightly between 14°C (37.5%) and 15°C (34.5%), markets reflect genuine forecast uncertainty in exact minimum thresholds rather than a single dominant outcome. Historical September averages near 12°C provide context, but current unsettled patterns favor values above that baseline. Fresh model runs and Met Office updates through the evening of September 7 will be the key near-term catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月8日伦敦最低气温?
14°C 37%
15°C 32%
16°C 16%
13°C 11%
11°C或以下
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
11%
14°C
37%
15°C
32%
16°C
16%
17°C
3%
18°C
2%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C或更高
<1%
14°C 37%
15°C 32%
16°C 16%
13°C 11%
11°C或以下
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
11%
14°C
37%
15°C
32%
16°C
16%
17°C
3%
18°C
2%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Trader sentiment for the September 8 London minimum temperature centers on an incoming Atlantic low-pressure system bringing rain and southwesterly winds, which are expected to limit overnight radiative cooling.** Official Met Office guidance points to a daytime high near 21°C and overnight low around 12–14°C amid persistent cloud and showers, while other models show slightly milder conditions near 14–15°C depending on wind strength and clearing timing. With implied probabilities clustered tightly between 14°C (37.5%) and 15°C (34.5%), markets reflect genuine forecast uncertainty in exact minimum thresholds rather than a single dominant outcome. Historical September averages near 12°C provide context, but current unsettled patterns favor values above that baseline. Fresh model runs and Met Office updates through the evening of September 7 will be the key near-term catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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