Recent forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and global models indicate a minimum temperature in Lucknow of 26–27°C on September 10, driven by persistent high humidity near 85–93% and extensive cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling during the late southwest monsoon period. Thunderstorm activity and light rain expected overnight further moderate temperature drops, consistent with recent observations of 26.6°C at Lucknow Airport on September 9. With 27°C holding a narrow 52% market-implied probability over 26°C at 46%, traders are weighing subtle differences in steering patterns and moisture levels that could tip the overnight low by a single degree. Updated IMD briefings and model consensus ahead of resolution will remain key inputs.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月10日勒克瑙的最低温度?
25°C 3%
24°C 2%
21°C或以下 1.0%
22°C 1.0%
21°C或以下
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
3%
26°C
46%
27°C
55%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C或更高
<1%
25°C 3%
24°C 2%
21°C或以下 1.0%
22°C 1.0%
21°C或以下
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
3%
26°C
46%
27°C
55%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and global models indicate a minimum temperature in Lucknow of 26–27°C on September 10, driven by persistent high humidity near 85–93% and extensive cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling during the late southwest monsoon period. Thunderstorm activity and light rain expected overnight further moderate temperature drops, consistent with recent observations of 26.6°C at Lucknow Airport on September 9. With 27°C holding a narrow 52% market-implied probability over 26°C at 46%, traders are weighing subtle differences in steering patterns and moisture levels that could tip the overnight low by a single degree. Updated IMD briefings and model consensus ahead of resolution will remain key inputs.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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