Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Paris on September 18 near 12–13°C under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and dry conditions that favor moderate overnight radiative cooling. Trader focus on the 11°C and 12°C outcomes reflects narrow model spreads around the climatological average low of roughly 11.4°C, with small differences in dew-point depression, wind speeds near 5–7 mph, and timing of any thin cloud cover determining whether the mercury dips below or holds at 12°C. Official guidance shows limited precipitation risk and stable high pressure, keeping outcomes tightly clustered while acknowledging typical ensemble uncertainty in nocturnal boundary-layer processes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月18日巴黎最低气温?
12°C 44%
11°C 27%
14°C 19%
13°C 14%
7°C或以下
10%
8°C
12%
9°C
7%
10°C
10%
11°C
27%
12°C
44%
13°C
14%
14°C
19%
15°C
2%
16°C
2%
17°C或更高
2%
12°C 44%
11°C 27%
14°C 19%
13°C 14%
7°C或以下
10%
8°C
12%
9°C
7%
10°C
10%
11°C
27%
12°C
44%
13°C
14%
14°C
19%
15°C
2%
16°C
2%
17°C或更高
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Paris on September 18 near 12–13°C under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and dry conditions that favor moderate overnight radiative cooling. Trader focus on the 11°C and 12°C outcomes reflects narrow model spreads around the climatological average low of roughly 11.4°C, with small differences in dew-point depression, wind speeds near 5–7 mph, and timing of any thin cloud cover determining whether the mercury dips below or holds at 12°C. Official guidance shows limited precipitation risk and stable high pressure, keeping outcomes tightly clustered while acknowledging typical ensemble uncertainty in nocturnal boundary-layer processes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题