**Current trader consensus on the lowest temperature in Qingdao on September 20 reflects substantial uncertainty in short-term minimum forecasts, with 15°C or below and 25°C or higher each implied at 46%.** Coastal Qingdao’s overnight lows depend heavily on Yellow Sea surface temperatures moderating air masses, wind shifts from southerly to northerly flow that can enhance or suppress radiative cooling under clear skies, and boundary-layer stability. Recent atmospheric patterns show persistent high pressure supporting warm advection and limited nocturnal cooling, consistent with official outlooks projecting lows near 20–22°C, yet small variations in timing of any frontal passage or cloud cover can shift the minimum several degrees. Model ensembles for the 24-hour period show divergence in low-level moisture and wind, keeping extreme outcomes priced closely despite the climatological expectation of mild early-autumn conditions. Traders will watch the next China Meteorological Administration update and local station data for resolution signals.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月20日青岛最低气温？
9月20日青岛最低气温？
15℃或以下 92%
25°C或更高 92%
17℃ 39%
22°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
15℃或以下
92%
16°C
16%
17℃
39%
18°C
22%
19°C
22%
20°C
22%
21°C
38%
22°C
39%
23°C
17%
24°C
15%
25°C或更高
92%
15℃或以下 92%
25°C或更高 92%
17℃ 39%
22°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
15℃或以下
$0 交易量
92%
16°C
$0 交易量
16%
17℃
$0 交易量
39%
18°C
$0 交易量
22%
19°C
$0 交易量
22%
20°C
$0 交易量
22%
21°C
$0 交易量
38%
22°C
$0 交易量
39%
23°C
$0 交易量
17%
24°C
$0 交易量
15%
25°C或更高
$0 交易量
92%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current trader consensus on the lowest temperature in Qingdao on September 20 reflects substantial uncertainty in short-term minimum forecasts, with 15°C or below and 25°C or higher each implied at 46%.** Coastal Qingdao’s overnight lows depend heavily on Yellow Sea surface temperatures moderating air masses, wind shifts from southerly to northerly flow that can enhance or suppress radiative cooling under clear skies, and boundary-layer stability. Recent atmospheric patterns show persistent high pressure supporting warm advection and limited nocturnal cooling, consistent with official outlooks projecting lows near 20–22°C, yet small variations in timing of any frontal passage or cloud cover can shift the minimum several degrees. Model ensembles for the 24-hour period show divergence in low-level moisture and wind, keeping extreme outcomes priced closely despite the climatological expectation of mild early-autumn conditions. Traders will watch the next China Meteorological Administration update and local station data for resolution signals.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 18, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Sep 18, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current trader consensus on the lowest temperature in Qingdao on September 20 reflects substantial uncertainty in short-term minimum forecasts, with 15°C or below and 25°C or higher each implied at 46%.** Coastal Qingdao’s overnight lows depend heavily on Yellow Sea surface temperatures moderating air masses, wind shifts from southerly to northerly flow that can enhance or suppress radiative cooling under clear skies, and boundary-layer stability. Recent atmospheric patterns show persistent high pressure supporting warm advection and limited nocturnal cooling, consistent with official outlooks projecting lows near 20–22°C, yet small variations in timing of any frontal passage or cloud cover can shift the minimum several degrees. Model ensembles for the 24-hour period show divergence in low-level moisture and wind, keeping extreme outcomes priced closely despite the climatological expectation of mild early-autumn conditions. Traders will watch the next China Meteorological Administration update and local station data for resolution signals.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Sep 18, 2026, 12:31 AM ET**Current trader consensus on the lowest temperature in Qingdao on September 20 reflects substantial uncertainty in short-term minimum forecasts, with 15°C or below and 25°C or higher each implied at 46%.** Coastal Qingdao’s overnight lows depend heavily on Yellow Sea surface temperatures moderating air masses, wind shifts from southerly to northerly flow that can enhance or suppress radiative cooling under clear skies, and boundary-layer stability. Recent atmospheric patterns show persistent high pressure supporting warm advection and limited nocturnal cooling, consistent with official outlooks projecting lows near 20–22°C, yet small variations in timing of any frontal passage or cloud cover can shift the minimum several degrees. Model ensembles for the 24-hour period show divergence in low-level moisture and wind, keeping extreme outcomes priced closely despite the climatological expectation of mild early-autumn conditions. Traders will watch the next China Meteorological Administration update and local station data for resolution signals.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题