Current meteorological forecasts for Shanghai on June 10 project a daily minimum near 18°C, consistent with early-summer subtropical conditions where nighttime lows typically range 19–22°C amid moderating onshore flow and limited cold-air advection. This positions the 18°C outcome as the market consensus at 99.6% implied probability, reflecting aggregated trader assessment of stable model guidance showing minimal deviation from climatological baselines. A stronger-than-expected frontal passage or localized radiative cooling under clear skies could realistically produce a lower reading, though ensemble spreads remain narrow and official monitoring thresholds favor the current projection. Resolution hinges on the final verified minimum from authoritative weather services.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月10日上海最低气温?
18°C 99.6%
17°C <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$29,975 交易量
$29,975 交易量
12°C或以下
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
100%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C或更高
<1%
18°C 99.6%
17°C <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$29,975 交易量
$29,975 交易量
12°C或以下
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
100%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 8, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current meteorological forecasts for Shanghai on June 10 project a daily minimum near 18°C, consistent with early-summer subtropical conditions where nighttime lows typically range 19–22°C amid moderating onshore flow and limited cold-air advection. This positions the 18°C outcome as the market consensus at 99.6% implied probability, reflecting aggregated trader assessment of stable model guidance showing minimal deviation from climatological baselines. A stronger-than-expected frontal passage or localized radiative cooling under clear skies could realistically produce a lower reading, though ensemble spreads remain narrow and official monitoring thresholds favor the current projection. Resolution hinges on the final verified minimum from authoritative weather services.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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