Recent observational data and numerical weather prediction models indicate Shanghai is under stable high-pressure influence with light northeasterly flow, favoring clear to partly cloudy skies that promote moderate radiative cooling overnight. Official and ensemble forecasts consistently project the daily minimum between 22–24 °C, with the 24 °C outcome commanding the highest market-implied probability because it aligns closely with the consensus low from GFS and regional guidance. Minor upward revisions in some runs and local urban heat-island effects support the secondary 25 °C probability, while cooler 23 °C scenarios remain possible if cloud cover decreases or winds calm further. Updated model runs and real-time station observations through the evening will be the key near-term drivers of any probability shifts before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月20日上海最低气温？
9月20日上海最低气温？
24°C 49%
25°C 28%
23°C 13%
22°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
19°C或以下
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
5%
22°C
7%
23°C
13%
24°C
55%
25°C
28%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C或更高
<1%
24°C 49%
25°C 28%
23°C 13%
22°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
19°C或以下
$41 交易量
<1%
20°C
$57 交易量
<1%
21°C
$186 交易量
5%
22°C
$628 交易量
7%
23°C
$708 交易量
13%
24°C
$1,495 交易量
55%
25°C
$1,701 交易量
28%
26°C
$67 交易量
<1%
27°C
$31 交易量
<1%
28°C
$41 交易量
<1%
29°C或更高
$47 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data and numerical weather prediction models indicate Shanghai is under stable high-pressure influence with light northeasterly flow, favoring clear to partly cloudy skies that promote moderate radiative cooling overnight. Official and ensemble forecasts consistently project the daily minimum between 22–24 °C, with the 24 °C outcome commanding the highest market-implied probability because it aligns closely with the consensus low from GFS and regional guidance. Minor upward revisions in some runs and local urban heat-island effects support the secondary 25 °C probability, while cooler 23 °C scenarios remain possible if cloud cover decreases or winds calm further. Updated model runs and real-time station observations through the evening will be the key near-term drivers of any probability shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$5,004结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data and numerical weather prediction models indicate Shanghai is under stable high-pressure influence with light northeasterly flow, favoring clear to partly cloudy skies that promote moderate radiative cooling overnight. Official and ensemble forecasts consistently project the daily minimum between 22–24 °C, with the 24 °C outcome commanding the highest market-implied probability because it aligns closely with the consensus low from GFS and regional guidance. Minor upward revisions in some runs and local urban heat-island effects support the secondary 25 °C probability, while cooler 23 °C scenarios remain possible if cloud cover decreases or winds calm further. Updated model runs and real-time station observations through the evening will be the key near-term drivers of any probability shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,004结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent observational data and numerical weather prediction models indicate Shanghai is under stable high-pressure influence with light northeasterly flow, favoring clear to partly cloudy skies that promote moderate radiative cooling overnight. Official and ensemble forecasts consistently project the daily minimum between 22–24 °C, with the 24 °C outcome commanding the highest market-implied probability because it aligns closely with the consensus low from GFS and regional guidance. Minor upward revisions in some runs and local urban heat-island effects support the secondary 25 °C probability, while cooler 23 °C scenarios remain possible if cloud cover decreases or winds calm further. Updated model runs and real-time station observations through the evening will be the key near-term drivers of any probability shifts before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题