**Latest forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including numerical weather prediction models and official guidance, converge on a minimum temperature of 21–23°C for Shanghai on September 21, 2026.** This range aligns with the market’s leading outcomes at 22°C (47.5%) and 23°C (35.0%), reflecting trader consensus on stable late-summer conditions. Northerly to northeasterly winds, partly cloudy skies, and low precipitation probability limit overnight radiative cooling while preventing significant warming. Historical September climatology places typical minima near 20–22°C, providing a baseline that current model runs closely track with only minor spread from cloud-cover variations. Upcoming overnight observations and final model updates will refine the exact value before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月21日上海最低气温?
22°C 44%
23°C 34%
20°C 27%
21°C 10%
17°C或以下
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
27%
21°C
7%
22°C
32%
23°C
34%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C或更高
<1%
22°C 44%
23°C 34%
20°C 27%
21°C 10%
17°C或以下
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
27%
21°C
7%
22°C
32%
23°C
34%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Latest forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including numerical weather prediction models and official guidance, converge on a minimum temperature of 21–23°C for Shanghai on September 21, 2026.** This range aligns with the market’s leading outcomes at 22°C (47.5%) and 23°C (35.0%), reflecting trader consensus on stable late-summer conditions. Northerly to northeasterly winds, partly cloudy skies, and low precipitation probability limit overnight radiative cooling while preventing significant warming. Historical September climatology places typical minima near 20–22°C, providing a baseline that current model runs closely track with only minor spread from cloud-cover variations. Upcoming overnight observations and final model updates will refine the exact value before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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