Mexico’s Q2 2026 GDP expanded 1.4% quarter-over-quarter, the strongest pace since late 2020 and second-highest among G20 economies per OECD data, rebounding from a Q1 contraction amid a transitory World Cup boost to services and consumption. This momentum, alongside resilient U.S. export demand and manufacturing integration under USMCA, underpins the market’s clustering around 1.5-2.5% growth for Q3, with the 1.5-2.0% bin leading at 34%. Offsetting factors include fading World Cup effects, subdued private investment, persistent trade-policy uncertainty ahead of USMCA reviews, and sticky core inflation near 4.2% that has prompted Banxico to hold its policy rate at 6.5%. Traders appear to weigh these crosscurrents evenly, with upcoming September activity indicators and the late-October Q3 preliminary release as key near-term catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于1.5-2.0% 34%
2.0-2.5% 32%
1.0-1.5% 11.5%
2.5-3.0% 11%
$35,387 交易量
$35,387 交易量
2026-10-30
<0.5%
1%
0.5-1.0%
9%
1.0-1.5%
12%
1.5-2.0%
34%
2.0-2.5%
32%
2.5-3.0%
11%
3.0-3.5%
2%
3.5%+
3%
1.5-2.0% 34%
2.0-2.5% 32%
1.0-1.5% 11.5%
2.5-3.0% 11%
$35,387 交易量
$35,387 交易量
2026-10-30
<0.5%
$957 交易量
1%
0.5-1.0%
$721 交易量
9%
1.0-1.5%
$4,037 交易量
12%
1.5-2.0%
$12,344 交易量
34%
2.0-2.5%
$13,787 交易量
32%
2.5-3.0%
$1,929 交易量
11%
3.0-3.5%
$800 交易量
2%
3.5%+
$811 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.Mexico’s Q2 2026 GDP expanded 1.4% quarter-over-quarter, the strongest pace since late 2020 and second-highest among G20 economies per OECD data, rebounding from a Q1 contraction amid a transitory World Cup boost to services and consumption. This momentum, alongside resilient U.S. export demand and manufacturing integration under USMCA, underpins the market’s clustering around 1.5-2.5% growth for Q3, with the 1.5-2.0% bin leading at 34%. Offsetting factors include fading World Cup effects, subdued private investment, persistent trade-policy uncertainty ahead of USMCA reviews, and sticky core inflation near 4.2% that has prompted Banxico to hold its policy rate at 6.5%. Traders appear to weigh these crosscurrents evenly, with upcoming September activity indicators and the late-October Q3 preliminary release as key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Jul 31, 2026, 7:29 PM ET
交易量
$35,387结束日期
2026-10-30市场开放时间
Jul 31, 2026, 7:29 PM ETThis market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.Mexico’s Q2 2026 GDP expanded 1.4% quarter-over-quarter, the strongest pace since late 2020 and second-highest among G20 economies per OECD data, rebounding from a Q1 contraction amid a transitory World Cup boost to services and consumption. This momentum, alongside resilient U.S. export demand and manufacturing integration under USMCA, underpins the market’s clustering around 1.5-2.5% growth for Q3, with the 1.5-2.0% bin leading at 34%. Offsetting factors include fading World Cup effects, subdued private investment, persistent trade-policy uncertainty ahead of USMCA reviews, and sticky core inflation near 4.2% that has prompted Banxico to hold its policy rate at 6.5%. Traders appear to weigh these crosscurrents evenly, with upcoming September activity indicators and the late-October Q3 preliminary release as key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$35,387结束日期
2026-10-30市场开放时间
Jul 31, 2026, 7:29 PM ETMexico’s Q2 2026 GDP expanded 1.4% quarter-over-quarter, the strongest pace since late 2020 and second-highest among G20 economies per OECD data, rebounding from a Q1 contraction amid a transitory World Cup boost to services and consumption. This momentum, alongside resilient U.S. export demand and manufacturing integration under USMCA, underpins the market’s clustering around 1.5-2.5% growth for Q3, with the 1.5-2.0% bin leading at 34%. Offsetting factors include fading World Cup effects, subdued private investment, persistent trade-policy uncertainty ahead of USMCA reviews, and sticky core inflation near 4.2% that has prompted Banxico to hold its policy rate at 6.5%. Traders appear to weigh these crosscurrents evenly, with upcoming September activity indicators and the late-October Q3 preliminary release as key near-term catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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