Recent quarterly GDP prints, with Q2 2026 advancing at a 1.5% annualized rate following Q1's 1.6%, have tempered near-term momentum yet reinforced trader focus on the 2.0–2.5% annual outcome. Investment-led expansion, particularly AI-related capital expenditures, continues to offset softening consumer spending amid affordability pressures and tariff headwinds, aligning with consensus forecasts around 2.2% from sources such as the CBO and Conference Board. Fiscal tailwinds from prior policy measures and resilient labor conditions further support the market-implied odds clustered in the 1.5–2.5% bands, while downside risks from higher energy prices and immigration policy remain priced at lower probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于2.0–2.5% 35%
1.5–2.0% 27.4%
>2.5% 22%
1.0–1.5% 9.4%
$57,958 交易量
$57,958 交易量
2027-01-29
低于0.5%
5%
0.5–1.0%
3%
1.0–1.5%
9%
1.5–2.0%
27%
2.0–2.5%
35%
>2.5%
22%
2.0–2.5% 35%
1.5–2.0% 27.4%
>2.5% 22%
1.0–1.5% 9.4%
$57,958 交易量
$57,958 交易量
2027-01-29
低于0.5%
$7,439 交易量
5%
0.5–1.0%
$17,161 交易量
3%
1.0–1.5%
$3,814 交易量
9%
1.5–2.0%
$6,622 交易量
27%
2.0–2.5%
$7,023 交易量
35%
>2.5%
$15,898 交易量
22%
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted real GDP growth rate for the United States in 2026, as reported in the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) "Advance Estimate" release for Q4 of 2026, estimated to be released in January 2027.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2025 to the annual level in 2026. Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent quarterly GDP prints, with Q2 2026 advancing at a 1.5% annualized rate following Q1's 1.6%, have tempered near-term momentum yet reinforced trader focus on the 2.0–2.5% annual outcome. Investment-led expansion, particularly AI-related capital expenditures, continues to offset softening consumer spending amid affordability pressures and tariff headwinds, aligning with consensus forecasts around 2.2% from sources such as the CBO and Conference Board. Fiscal tailwinds from prior policy measures and resilient labor conditions further support the market-implied odds clustered in the 1.5–2.5% bands, while downside risks from higher energy prices and immigration policy remain priced at lower probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted real GDP growth rate for the United States in 2026, as reported in the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) "Advance Estimate" release for Q4 of 2026, estimated to be released in January 2027.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2025 to the annual level in 2026. Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2025 to the annual level in 2026. Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Nov 12, 2025, 6:17 PM ET
交易量
$57,958结束日期
2027-01-29市场开放时间
Nov 12, 2025, 6:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted real GDP growth rate for the United States in 2026, as reported in the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) "Advance Estimate" release for Q4 of 2026, estimated to be released in January 2027.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2025 to the annual level in 2026. Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent quarterly GDP prints, with Q2 2026 advancing at a 1.5% annualized rate following Q1's 1.6%, have tempered near-term momentum yet reinforced trader focus on the 2.0–2.5% annual outcome. Investment-led expansion, particularly AI-related capital expenditures, continues to offset softening consumer spending amid affordability pressures and tariff headwinds, aligning with consensus forecasts around 2.2% from sources such as the CBO and Conference Board. Fiscal tailwinds from prior policy measures and resilient labor conditions further support the market-implied odds clustered in the 1.5–2.5% bands, while downside risks from higher energy prices and immigration policy remain priced at lower probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted real GDP growth rate for the United States in 2026, as reported in the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) "Advance Estimate" release for Q4 of 2026, estimated to be released in January 2027.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2025 to the annual level in 2026. Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2025 to the annual level in 2026. Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$57,958结束日期
2027-01-29市场开放时间
Nov 12, 2025, 6:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent quarterly GDP prints, with Q2 2026 advancing at a 1.5% annualized rate following Q1's 1.6%, have tempered near-term momentum yet reinforced trader focus on the 2.0–2.5% annual outcome. Investment-led expansion, particularly AI-related capital expenditures, continues to offset softening consumer spending amid affordability pressures and tariff headwinds, aligning with consensus forecasts around 2.2% from sources such as the CBO and Conference Board. Fiscal tailwinds from prior policy measures and resilient labor conditions further support the market-implied odds clustered in the 1.5–2.5% bands, while downside risks from higher energy prices and immigration policy remain priced at lower probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题