Recent energy price shocks stemming from the Middle East conflict have prompted sharp downward revisions to Eurozone 2026 GDP growth forecasts, with institutions including the ECB, OECD, and Vanguard projecting 0.8% annual expansion amid elevated headline inflation averaging near 3.0%. Second-quarter GDP expanded 0.4% quarter-over-quarter, supporting resilience in underlying activity, yet persistent inflation pressures have led the ECB to raise policy rates, weighing on domestic demand and investment. Market-implied odds heavily favor the 0-1.0% band, reflecting trader consensus on these headwinds, while the 1.0-2.0% interval prices limited upside from potential de-escalation or German fiscal stimulus. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming inflation releases and ECB communications that could further shape rate expectations and growth trajectories.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于0-1.0% 78.3%
1.0-2.0% 19%
4.0-5.0% 3.4%
低于0% 3.3%
$30,355 交易量
$30,355 交易量
2027-01-31
低于0%
3%
0-1.0%
78%
1.0-2.0%
19%
2.0-3.0%
1%
3.0-4.0%
<1%
4.0-5.0%
3%
5.0-6.0%
<1%
6.0-7.0%
<1%
7.0%及以上
<1%
0-1.0% 78.3%
1.0-2.0% 19%
4.0-5.0% 3.4%
低于0% 3.3%
$30,355 交易量
$30,355 交易量
2027-01-31
低于0%
$1,672 交易量
3%
0-1.0%
$11,512 交易量
78%
1.0-2.0%
$7,131 交易量
19%
2.0-3.0%
$1,180 交易量
1%
3.0-4.0%
$1,096 交易量
<1%
4.0-5.0%
$2,203 交易量
3%
5.0-6.0%
$1,185 交易量
<1%
6.0-7.0%
$2,648 交易量
<1%
7.0%及以上
$1,728 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent energy price shocks stemming from the Middle East conflict have prompted sharp downward revisions to Eurozone 2026 GDP growth forecasts, with institutions including the ECB, OECD, and Vanguard projecting 0.8% annual expansion amid elevated headline inflation averaging near 3.0%. Second-quarter GDP expanded 0.4% quarter-over-quarter, supporting resilience in underlying activity, yet persistent inflation pressures have led the ECB to raise policy rates, weighing on domestic demand and investment. Market-implied odds heavily favor the 0-1.0% band, reflecting trader consensus on these headwinds, while the 1.0-2.0% interval prices limited upside from potential de-escalation or German fiscal stimulus. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming inflation releases and ECB communications that could further shape rate expectations and growth trajectories.
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ET
交易量
$30,355结束日期
2027-01-31市场开放时间
Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent energy price shocks stemming from the Middle East conflict have prompted sharp downward revisions to Eurozone 2026 GDP growth forecasts, with institutions including the ECB, OECD, and Vanguard projecting 0.8% annual expansion amid elevated headline inflation averaging near 3.0%. Second-quarter GDP expanded 0.4% quarter-over-quarter, supporting resilience in underlying activity, yet persistent inflation pressures have led the ECB to raise policy rates, weighing on domestic demand and investment. Market-implied odds heavily favor the 0-1.0% band, reflecting trader consensus on these headwinds, while the 1.0-2.0% interval prices limited upside from potential de-escalation or German fiscal stimulus. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming inflation releases and ECB communications that could further shape rate expectations and growth trajectories.
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$30,355结束日期
2027-01-31市场开放时间
Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent energy price shocks stemming from the Middle East conflict have prompted sharp downward revisions to Eurozone 2026 GDP growth forecasts, with institutions including the ECB, OECD, and Vanguard projecting 0.8% annual expansion amid elevated headline inflation averaging near 3.0%. Second-quarter GDP expanded 0.4% quarter-over-quarter, supporting resilience in underlying activity, yet persistent inflation pressures have led the ECB to raise policy rates, weighing on domestic demand and investment. Market-implied odds heavily favor the 0-1.0% band, reflecting trader consensus on these headwinds, while the 1.0-2.0% interval prices limited upside from potential de-escalation or German fiscal stimulus. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming inflation releases and ECB communications that could further shape rate expectations and growth trajectories.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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