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米格尔·迪亚斯-卡内尔在6月30日就任古巴总统?

icon for 米格尔·迪亚斯-卡内尔在6月30日就任古巴总统?

米格尔·迪亚斯-卡内尔在6月30日就任古巴总统?

22% 概率
Polymarket

$248,039 交易量

22% 概率
Polymarket

$248,039 交易量

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Miguel Díaz-Canel ceases to be the President of Cuba for any period of time between November 18, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Miguel Díaz-Canel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Cuba, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Cuban President Miguel Díaz-Canel has repeatedly affirmed his intention to remain in office, stating in April interviews that stepping down forms no part of the revolutionary vocabulary amid U.S. diplomatic pressure. He has delivered public addresses reinforcing national sovereignty and resistance during events marking the 65th anniversary of the socialist revolution, with no reported internal challenges or succession signals emerging from the Communist Party of Cuba. These developments, occurring against ongoing economic strains and external tensions, have shaped trader consensus around sustained leadership continuity. No verified shifts in party structures or official announcements have altered this outlook in recent weeks.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Miguel Díaz-Canel ceases to be the President of Cuba for any period of time between November 18, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Miguel Díaz-Canel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be the government of Cuba, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
交易量
$248,039
结束日期
2026-06-30
市场开放时间
Nov 18, 2025, 4:11 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Miguel Díaz-Canel ceases to be the President of Cuba for any period of time between November 18, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Miguel Díaz-Canel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Cuba, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Miguel Díaz-Canel ceases to be the President of Cuba for any period of time between November 18, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Miguel Díaz-Canel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Cuba, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Cuban President Miguel Díaz-Canel has repeatedly affirmed his intention to remain in office, stating in April interviews that stepping down forms no part of the revolutionary vocabulary amid U.S. diplomatic pressure. He has delivered public addresses reinforcing national sovereignty and resistance during events marking the 65th anniversary of the socialist revolution, with no reported internal challenges or succession signals emerging from the Communist Party of Cuba. These developments, occurring against ongoing economic strains and external tensions, have shaped trader consensus around sustained leadership continuity. No verified shifts in party structures or official announcements have altered this outlook in recent weeks.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Miguel Díaz-Canel ceases to be the President of Cuba for any period of time between November 18, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Miguel Díaz-Canel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be the government of Cuba, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
交易量
$248,039
结束日期
2026-06-30
市场开放时间
Nov 18, 2025, 4:11 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Miguel Díaz-Canel ceases to be the President of Cuba for any period of time between November 18, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Miguel Díaz-Canel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Cuba, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"米格尔·迪亚斯-卡内尔在6月30日就任古巴总统?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"米格尔·迪亚斯-卡内尔将在6月30日前卸任古巴总统吗?",概率为 22%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 22¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 22%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"米格尔·迪亚斯-卡内尔在6月30日就任古巴总统?"已产生 $248K 的总交易量(自Nov 18, 2025市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"米格尔·迪亚斯-卡内尔在6月30日就任古巴总统?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"米格尔·迪亚斯-卡内尔在6月30日就任古巴总统?"的当前领先者是"米格尔·迪亚斯-卡内尔将在6月30日前卸任古巴总统吗?",概率为 22%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 22%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"米格尔·迪亚斯-卡内尔在6月30日就任古巴总统?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。