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icon for 密苏里州通过了重新选区的选票法案?

密苏里州通过了重新选区的选票法案?

icon for 密苏里州通过了重新选区的选票法案?

密苏里州通过了重新选区的选票法案?

41% 概率
Polymarket
最新

41% 概率
Polymarket
最新
The Missouri Congressional Map Referendum is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would uphold the new congressional district map enacted in 2025. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of a Missouri statewide election held on or before November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Missouri, including the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov/). **Missouri voters will decide on November 3, 2026, via veto referendum (Proposition A) whether to uphold or repeal the 2025 legislative map (HB 1) that redraws congressional districts, primarily affecting the Kansas City area.** A “yes” vote would enact the new boundaries; a “no” would retain the 2022 map. After signature collection exceeded requirements and prolonged litigation, the Missouri Supreme Court unanimously ruled on September 3 that the referendum is valid under the state constitution, ordered certification, and barred use of the new map for the November election. The secretary of state complied on September 8, and the U.S. Supreme Court declined to intervene. The measure reached the ballot only after Republican-led efforts to block it and Democratic-backed challenges succeeded. Trader consensus favoring rejection reflects the referendum’s origin as a direct voter check on mid-decade redistricting, the use of the prior map in the general election, and the absence of strong polling momentum for approval amid ongoing partisan disputes. Upcoming campaign activity and any last-minute legal developments could still shift positioning before Election Day.

The Missouri Congressional Map Referendum is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would uphold the new congressional district map enacted in 2025.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of a Missouri statewide election held on or before November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.

Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Missouri, including the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov/).
The Missouri Congressional Map Referendum is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would uphold the new congressional district map enacted in 2025. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of a Missouri statewide election held on or before November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Missouri, including the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov/).
交易量
$0
结束日期
2026-11-03
市场开放时间
Sep 8, 2026, 4:36 PM ET
The Missouri Congressional Map Referendum is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would uphold the new congressional district map enacted in 2025. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of a Missouri statewide election held on or before November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Missouri, including the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov/). **Missouri voters will decide on November 3, 2026, via veto referendum (Proposition A) whether to uphold or repeal the 2025 legislative map (HB 1) that redraws congressional districts, primarily affecting the Kansas City area.** A “yes” vote would enact the new boundaries; a “no” would retain the 2022 map. After signature collection exceeded requirements and prolonged litigation, the Missouri Supreme Court unanimously ruled on September 3 that the referendum is valid under the state constitution, ordered certification, and barred use of the new map for the November election. The secretary of state complied on September 8, and the U.S. Supreme Court declined to intervene. The measure reached the ballot only after Republican-led efforts to block it and Democratic-backed challenges succeeded. Trader consensus favoring rejection reflects the referendum’s origin as a direct voter check on mid-decade redistricting, the use of the prior map in the general election, and the absence of strong polling momentum for approval amid ongoing partisan disputes. Upcoming campaign activity and any last-minute legal developments could still shift positioning before Election Day.

The Missouri Congressional Map Referendum is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would uphold the new congressional district map enacted in 2025.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of a Missouri statewide election held on or before November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.

Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Missouri, including the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov/).
The Missouri Congressional Map Referendum is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would uphold the new congressional district map enacted in 2025. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of a Missouri statewide election held on or before November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Missouri, including the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov/).
交易量
$0
结束日期
2026-11-03
市场开放时间
Sep 8, 2026, 4:36 PM ET

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常见问题

"密苏里州通过了重新选区的选票法案?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"密苏里州通过投票措施重新划分选区?",概率为 41%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 41¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 41%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"密苏里州通过了重新选区的选票法案?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Sep 8, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"密苏里州通过了重新选区的选票法案?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"密苏里州通过了重新选区的选票法案?"的当前领先者是"密苏里州通过投票措施重新划分选区?",概率为 41%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 41%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"密苏里州通过了重新选区的选票法案?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。