Mojtaba Khamenei assumed Iran's supreme leadership in March 2026 after his father Ali Khamenei was killed in late-February U.S.-Israeli strikes that also wounded Mojtaba. Since then, he has governed primarily through written statements while remaining out of verified public view, citing security threats from the ongoing conflict and possible health effects. Iranian state media released a brief undated video clip on August 10 showing him in a meeting, framed as addressing health rumors, yet traders view this as insufficient to resolve markets tied to confirmed recent photography or live footage. Key variables include the war's trajectory, scheduled ceremonies such as memorials, and any official announcements on future appearances that could shift implied probabilities before specific deadlines.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$6,776,499 交易量
2026-09-30
8月31日
2%
9月30日
7%
10月31日
14%
12月31日
24%
$6,776,499 交易量
8月31日
$446,588 交易量
2%
9月30日
$292,606 交易量
7%
10月31日
$0 交易量
14%
12月31日
$450,927 交易量
24%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.Mojtaba Khamenei assumed Iran's supreme leadership in March 2026 after his father Ali Khamenei was killed in late-February U.S.-Israeli strikes that also wounded Mojtaba. Since then, he has governed primarily through written statements while remaining out of verified public view, citing security threats from the ongoing conflict and possible health effects. Iranian state media released a brief undated video clip on August 10 showing him in a meeting, framed as addressing health rumors, yet traders view this as insufficient to resolve markets tied to confirmed recent photography or live footage. Key variables include the war's trajectory, scheduled ceremonies such as memorials, and any official announcements on future appearances that could shift implied probabilities before specific deadlines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
市场开放时间： Jun 23, 2026, 4:58 PM ET
交易量
$6,776,499结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Jun 23, 2026, 4:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.Mojtaba Khamenei assumed Iran's supreme leadership in March 2026 after his father Ali Khamenei was killed in late-February U.S.-Israeli strikes that also wounded Mojtaba. Since then, he has governed primarily through written statements while remaining out of verified public view, citing security threats from the ongoing conflict and possible health effects. Iranian state media released a brief undated video clip on August 10 showing him in a meeting, framed as addressing health rumors, yet traders view this as insufficient to resolve markets tied to confirmed recent photography or live footage. Key variables include the war's trajectory, scheduled ceremonies such as memorials, and any official announcements on future appearances that could shift implied probabilities before specific deadlines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
交易量
$6,776,499结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Jun 23, 2026, 4:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Mojtaba Khamenei assumed Iran's supreme leadership in March 2026 after his father Ali Khamenei was killed in late-February U.S.-Israeli strikes that also wounded Mojtaba. Since then, he has governed primarily through written statements while remaining out of verified public view, citing security threats from the ongoing conflict and possible health effects. Iranian state media released a brief undated video clip on August 10 showing him in a meeting, framed as addressing health rumors, yet traders view this as insufficient to resolve markets tied to confirmed recent photography or live footage. Key variables include the war's trajectory, scheduled ceremonies such as memorials, and any official announcements on future appearances that could shift implied probabilities before specific deadlines.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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