Ongoing Ukrainian drone strikes targeting the Moscow region have repeatedly triggered temporary suspensions of arrivals and departures at the capital’s four main airports (Sheremetyevo, Domodedovo, Vnukovo, and Zhukovsky) to ensure aviation safety amid air-defense activity. The largest such episode occurred on June 18, 2026, when all facilities closed multiple times during the most intense attack wave reported since the start of full-scale hostilities, delaying or canceling hundreds of flights. Russian authorities have also imposed broader low-altitude flight restrictions over central regions, while international carriers such as EL AL have suspended routes citing airspace risks. Trader sentiment on resolution timing or responsible actor reflects expectations of continued conflict-driven disruptions through summer 2026, with any escalation in strikes or new defensive measures likely to influence short-term probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月22日
31%
7月25日
38%
7月31日
75%
8月31日
88%
$331 交易量
7月22日
31%
7月25日
38%
7月31日
75%
8月31日
88%
The relevant airports are:
- Sheremetyevo (SVO);
- Domodedovo (DME); and
- Vnukovo (VKO).
A qualifying suspension refers to official flight restrictions suspending both departures and arrivals at all three airports for any amount of time. Such suspensions may be issued as one singular order or separate notices, provided suspensions of arrivals and departures are concurrently in effect at all three airports between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Suspensions described as "temporary restrictions on arrivals and departures" at the relevant airports by Russian authorities will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official communications from the Russian government and Russian aviation authorities, including the Rosaviatsiya federal air transport agency; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Jul 20, 2026, 4:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The relevant airports are:
- Sheremetyevo (SVO);
- Domodedovo (DME); and
- Vnukovo (VKO).
A qualifying suspension refers to official flight restrictions suspending both departures and arrivals at all three airports for any amount of time. Such suspensions may be issued as one singular order or separate notices, provided suspensions of arrivals and departures are concurrently in effect at all three airports between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Suspensions described as "temporary restrictions on arrivals and departures" at the relevant airports by Russian authorities will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official communications from the Russian government and Russian aviation authorities, including the Rosaviatsiya federal air transport agency; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing Ukrainian drone strikes targeting the Moscow region have repeatedly triggered temporary suspensions of arrivals and departures at the capital’s four main airports (Sheremetyevo, Domodedovo, Vnukovo, and Zhukovsky) to ensure aviation safety amid air-defense activity. The largest such episode occurred on June 18, 2026, when all facilities closed multiple times during the most intense attack wave reported since the start of full-scale hostilities, delaying or canceling hundreds of flights. Russian authorities have also imposed broader low-altitude flight restrictions over central regions, while international carriers such as EL AL have suspended routes citing airspace risks. Trader sentiment on resolution timing or responsible actor reflects expectations of continued conflict-driven disruptions through summer 2026, with any escalation in strikes or new defensive measures likely to influence short-term probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题