Labour’s recent local election losses have triggered a backbench revolt against Prime Minister Keir Starmer, elevating Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham as the clearest alternative within the party. Burnham’s strong personal ratings and the Labour National Executive Committee’s decision to clear his path to contest the Makerfield by-election have concentrated trader attention on an early 2026 leadership transition. Wes Streeting’s resignation and public willingness to stand, alongside Angela Rayner’s continued profile, sustain secondary support while Starmer remains in post. The current pricing reflects the narrow window before any potential contest and the structural requirement that any successor first secure a parliamentary seat.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于安迪·伯纳姆 56.1%
2026年没有下任首相 16%
韦斯·斯特里廷 10%
安吉拉·雷纳 10%
$7,418,556 交易量
$7,418,556 交易量
2026-12-31
安迪·伯纳姆
56%
2026年没有下任首相
16%
韦斯·斯特里廷
10%
安吉拉·雷纳
10%
埃德·米利班德
7%
Al Carns
2%
奈杰尔·法拉奇
1%
沙巴娜·马哈茂德
1%
伊薇特·库珀
1%
露西·鲍威尔
<1%
鲁珀特·洛伊
<1%
雷切尔·里夫斯
<1%
凯米·巴德诺克
<1%
鲍里斯·约翰逊
<1%
埃德·戴维
<1%
布里奇特·菲利普森
<1%
罗伯特·詹里克
<1%
大卫·拉米
<1%
詹姆斯·克莱弗利
<1%
达伦·琼斯
<1%
约翰·希利
<1%
安迪·伯纳姆 56.1%
2026年没有下任首相 16%
韦斯·斯特里廷 10%
安吉拉·雷纳 10%
$7,418,556 交易量
$7,418,556 交易量
2026-12-31
安迪·伯纳姆
$577,091 交易量
56%
2026年没有下任首相
$419,797 交易量
16%
韦斯·斯特里廷
$286,773 交易量
10%
安吉拉·雷纳
$475,253 交易量
10%
埃德·米利班德
$320,826 交易量
7%
Al Carns
$217,115 交易量
2%
奈杰尔·法拉奇
$810,430 交易量
1%
沙巴娜·马哈茂德
$302,938 交易量
1%
伊薇特·库珀
$285,998 交易量
1%
露西·鲍威尔
$304,437 交易量
<1%
鲁珀特·洛伊
$692,849 交易量
<1%
雷切尔·里夫斯
$521,702 交易量
<1%
凯米·巴德诺克
$198,803 交易量
<1%
鲍里斯·约翰逊
$259,833 交易量
<1%
埃德·戴维
$354,406 交易量
<1%
布里奇特·菲利普森
$137,584 交易量
<1%
罗伯特·詹里克
$376,493 交易量
<1%
大卫·拉米
$335,543 交易量
<1%
詹姆斯·克莱弗利
$298,176 交易量
<1%
达伦·琼斯
$211,871 交易量
<1%
约翰·希利
$40,016 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Labour’s recent local election losses have triggered a backbench revolt against Prime Minister Keir Starmer, elevating Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham as the clearest alternative within the party. Burnham’s strong personal ratings and the Labour National Executive Committee’s decision to clear his path to contest the Makerfield by-election have concentrated trader attention on an early 2026 leadership transition. Wes Streeting’s resignation and public willingness to stand, alongside Angela Rayner’s continued profile, sustain secondary support while Starmer remains in post. The current pricing reflects the narrow window before any potential contest and the structural requirement that any successor first secure a parliamentary seat.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Feb 5, 2026, 5:48 PM ET
交易量
$7,418,556结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Feb 5, 2026, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Labour’s recent local election losses have triggered a backbench revolt against Prime Minister Keir Starmer, elevating Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham as the clearest alternative within the party. Burnham’s strong personal ratings and the Labour National Executive Committee’s decision to clear his path to contest the Makerfield by-election have concentrated trader attention on an early 2026 leadership transition. Wes Streeting’s resignation and public willingness to stand, alongside Angela Rayner’s continued profile, sustain secondary support while Starmer remains in post. The current pricing reflects the narrow window before any potential contest and the structural requirement that any successor first secure a parliamentary seat.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$7,418,556结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Feb 5, 2026, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Labour’s recent local election losses have triggered a backbench revolt against Prime Minister Keir Starmer, elevating Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham as the clearest alternative within the party. Burnham’s strong personal ratings and the Labour National Executive Committee’s decision to clear his path to contest the Makerfield by-election have concentrated trader attention on an early 2026 leadership transition. Wes Streeting’s resignation and public willingness to stand, alongside Angela Rayner’s continued profile, sustain secondary support while Starmer remains in post. The current pricing reflects the narrow window before any potential contest and the structural requirement that any successor first secure a parliamentary seat.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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