Recent developments in UK politics have intensified speculation over Labour leadership amid Keir Starmer’s weakening position following heavy losses in local elections and multiple cabinet resignations. Andy Burnham’s approval to contest the Makerfield by-election has positioned him as the leading candidate to return to Parliament and mount a challenge, driving trader consensus toward his elevated probability as the next prime minister. This reflects his strong polling among party members and broad appeal across regions, while Wes Streeting’s resignation and Angela Rayner’s cleared tax matters keep them as secondary contenders. The market’s pricing incorporates uncertainty around the by-election outcome and any formal contest timeline before the next general election, with no major shifts reported in the prior week.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于安迪·伯纳姆 56.5%
2026年没有下任首相 13%
韦斯·斯特里廷 10%
安吉拉·雷纳 10%
$7,276,672 交易量
$7,276,672 交易量
安迪·伯纳姆
57%
2026年没有下任首相
13%
韦斯·斯特里廷
10%
安吉拉·雷纳
10%
埃德·米利班德
7%
Al Carns
4%
奈杰尔·法拉奇
1%
伊薇特·库珀
1%
沙巴娜·马哈茂德
1%
露西·鲍威尔
<1%
鲁珀特·洛伊
<1%
雷切尔·里夫斯
<1%
凯米·巴德诺克
<1%
鲍里斯·约翰逊
<1%
埃德·戴维
<1%
布里奇特·菲利普森
<1%
罗伯特·詹里克
<1%
大卫·拉米
<1%
詹姆斯·克莱弗利
<1%
达伦·琼斯
<1%
约翰·希利
<1%
安迪·伯纳姆 56.5%
2026年没有下任首相 13%
韦斯·斯特里廷 10%
安吉拉·雷纳 10%
$7,276,672 交易量
$7,276,672 交易量
安迪·伯纳姆
57%
2026年没有下任首相
13%
韦斯·斯特里廷
10%
安吉拉·雷纳
10%
埃德·米利班德
7%
Al Carns
4%
奈杰尔·法拉奇
1%
伊薇特·库珀
1%
沙巴娜·马哈茂德
1%
露西·鲍威尔
<1%
鲁珀特·洛伊
<1%
雷切尔·里夫斯
<1%
凯米·巴德诺克
<1%
鲍里斯·约翰逊
<1%
埃德·戴维
<1%
布里奇特·菲利普森
<1%
罗伯特·詹里克
<1%
大卫·拉米
<1%
詹姆斯·克莱弗利
<1%
达伦·琼斯
<1%
约翰·希利
<1%
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Feb 5, 2026, 5:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent developments in UK politics have intensified speculation over Labour leadership amid Keir Starmer’s weakening position following heavy losses in local elections and multiple cabinet resignations. Andy Burnham’s approval to contest the Makerfield by-election has positioned him as the leading candidate to return to Parliament and mount a challenge, driving trader consensus toward his elevated probability as the next prime minister. This reflects his strong polling among party members and broad appeal across regions, while Wes Streeting’s resignation and Angela Rayner’s cleared tax matters keep them as secondary contenders. The market’s pricing incorporates uncertainty around the by-election outcome and any formal contest timeline before the next general election, with no major shifts reported in the prior week.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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