Keir Starmer faces mounting internal pressure after Labour’s heavy losses in recent local elections, with dozens of MPs publicly calling for his resignation and several ministers stepping down in protest. This leadership uncertainty has elevated Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham as the clear trader favorite, reflecting his consistent high poll ratings among Labour members, his established “Manchesterism” devolution approach, and reports that allies have cleared a path for him to contest a by-election in Makerfield. Wes Streeting and Angela Rayner remain active contenders following their own positioning moves, while the notable share priced on no leadership change in 2026 captures the possibility that Starmer could weather the immediate revolt and retain the premiership through the year.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于安迪·伯纳姆 56.5%
2026年没有下任首相 13%
韦斯·斯特里廷 10%
安吉拉·雷纳 10%
$7,276,666 交易量
$7,276,666 交易量
安迪·伯纳姆
56%
2026年没有下任首相
13%
韦斯·斯特里廷
10%
安吉拉·雷纳
10%
埃德·米利班德
7%
Al Carns
4%
奈杰尔·法拉奇
1%
伊薇特·库珀
1%
沙巴娜·马哈茂德
1%
露西·鲍威尔
<1%
鲁珀特·洛伊
<1%
雷切尔·里夫斯
<1%
凯米·巴德诺克
<1%
鲍里斯·约翰逊
<1%
埃德·戴维
<1%
布里奇特·菲利普森
<1%
罗伯特·詹里克
<1%
大卫·拉米
<1%
詹姆斯·克莱弗利
<1%
达伦·琼斯
<1%
约翰·希利
<1%
安迪·伯纳姆 56.5%
2026年没有下任首相 13%
韦斯·斯特里廷 10%
安吉拉·雷纳 10%
$7,276,666 交易量
$7,276,666 交易量
安迪·伯纳姆
56%
2026年没有下任首相
13%
韦斯·斯特里廷
10%
安吉拉·雷纳
10%
埃德·米利班德
7%
Al Carns
4%
奈杰尔·法拉奇
1%
伊薇特·库珀
1%
沙巴娜·马哈茂德
1%
露西·鲍威尔
<1%
鲁珀特·洛伊
<1%
雷切尔·里夫斯
<1%
凯米·巴德诺克
<1%
鲍里斯·约翰逊
<1%
埃德·戴维
<1%
布里奇特·菲利普森
<1%
罗伯特·詹里克
<1%
大卫·拉米
<1%
詹姆斯·克莱弗利
<1%
达伦·琼斯
<1%
约翰·希利
<1%
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Feb 5, 2026, 5:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Keir Starmer faces mounting internal pressure after Labour’s heavy losses in recent local elections, with dozens of MPs publicly calling for his resignation and several ministers stepping down in protest. This leadership uncertainty has elevated Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham as the clear trader favorite, reflecting his consistent high poll ratings among Labour members, his established “Manchesterism” devolution approach, and reports that allies have cleared a path for him to contest a by-election in Makerfield. Wes Streeting and Angela Rayner remain active contenders following their own positioning moves, while the notable share priced on no leadership change in 2026 captures the possibility that Starmer could weather the immediate revolt and retain the premiership through the year.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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