Recent polling shows Democrats holding a consistent lead on the generic congressional ballot amid declining presidential approval ratings tied to the ongoing conflict with Iran and softening economic indicators. These trends align with historical midterm patterns where the president's party often faces substantial seat losses, particularly with Republicans defending a narrow majority entering the cycle. Redistricting has provided some structural offsets in key states, yet analysts note it is unlikely to fully counter national headwinds. Traders price the widest range below 190 seats highest because competitive districts in states like North Carolina, Ohio, and Texas remain vulnerable, with limited time left for legislative achievements or approval rebounds before November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于少于190 27%
195-199 12%
200-204 11.5%
215-219 11.1%
$234,839 交易量
$234,839 交易量
2026-11-03
少于190
27%
190-194
11%
195-199
12%
200-204
12%
205-209
10%
210-214
9%
215-219
11%
220-224
9%
225-229
3%
230+
2%
少于190 27%
195-199 12%
200-204 11.5%
215-219 11.1%
$234,839 交易量
$234,839 交易量
2026-11-03
少于190
$17,616 交易量
27%
190-194
$8,513 交易量
11%
195-199
$28,129 交易量
12%
200-204
$22,115 交易量
12%
205-209
$35,376 交易量
10%
210-214
$12,841 交易量
9%
215-219
$8,059 交易量
11%
220-224
$53,714 交易量
9%
225-229
$21,391 交易量
3%
230+
$27,084 交易量
2%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all US House of Representatives elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all US House of Representatives elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polling shows Democrats holding a consistent lead on the generic congressional ballot amid declining presidential approval ratings tied to the ongoing conflict with Iran and softening economic indicators. These trends align with historical midterm patterns where the president's party often faces substantial seat losses, particularly with Republicans defending a narrow majority entering the cycle. Redistricting has provided some structural offsets in key states, yet analysts note it is unlikely to fully counter national headwinds. Traders price the widest range below 190 seats highest because competitive districts in states like North Carolina, Ohio, and Texas remain vulnerable, with limited time left for legislative achievements or approval rebounds before November.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all US House of Representatives elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all US House of Representatives elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all US House of Representatives elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all US House of Representatives elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Dec 18, 2025, 8:56 PM ET
交易量
$234,839结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Dec 18, 2025, 8:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all US House of Representatives elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all US House of Representatives elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polling shows Democrats holding a consistent lead on the generic congressional ballot amid declining presidential approval ratings tied to the ongoing conflict with Iran and softening economic indicators. These trends align with historical midterm patterns where the president's party often faces substantial seat losses, particularly with Republicans defending a narrow majority entering the cycle. Redistricting has provided some structural offsets in key states, yet analysts note it is unlikely to fully counter national headwinds. Traders price the widest range below 190 seats highest because competitive districts in states like North Carolina, Ohio, and Texas remain vulnerable, with limited time left for legislative achievements or approval rebounds before November.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all US House of Representatives elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all US House of Representatives elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all US House of Representatives elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all US House of Representatives elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$234,839结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Dec 18, 2025, 8:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling shows Democrats holding a consistent lead on the generic congressional ballot amid declining presidential approval ratings tied to the ongoing conflict with Iran and softening economic indicators. These trends align with historical midterm patterns where the president's party often faces substantial seat losses, particularly with Republicans defending a narrow majority entering the cycle. Redistricting has provided some structural offsets in key states, yet analysts note it is unlikely to fully counter national headwinds. Traders price the widest range below 190 seats highest because competitive districts in states like North Carolina, Ohio, and Texas remain vulnerable, with limited time left for legislative achievements or approval rebounds before November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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