Trader consensus prices a 73.5% chance that SCOTUS will bar states from counting mail ballots arriving after Election Day, driven by oral arguments on March 23, 2026, in a Republican National Committee challenge to Mississippi's five-day grace period for postmarked ballots. Conservative justices, including several in the majority, expressed skepticism toward such extensions under federal law establishing a single Election Day, signaling readiness to overturn the state provision—a stance echoed across 14 states with similar rules ahead of November midterms. No ruling has issued yet, with a decision expected by late June; election officials warn of processing disruptions, while recent Virginia redistricting appeals highlight related federal Election Day tensions reinforcing trader expectations of stricter deadlines.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于SCOTUS酒吧在选举日后计算邮寄选票？
SCOTUS酒吧在选举日后计算邮寄选票？
是
$39,252 交易量
$39,252 交易量
2026-08-01
是
$39,252 交易量
$39,252 交易量
2026-08-01
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States Supreme Court, in Watson v. Republican National Committee, rules that the federal election-day statutes preempt a state law that allows ballots cast by federal Election Day to be received and counted after election day, by August 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the Supreme Court’s decision in this case. Other related cases or legislation will not affect resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Supreme Court; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus prices a 73.5% chance that SCOTUS will bar states from counting mail ballots arriving after Election Day, driven by oral arguments on March 23, 2026, in a Republican National Committee challenge to Mississippi's five-day grace period for postmarked ballots. Conservative justices, including several in the majority, expressed skepticism toward such extensions under federal law establishing a single Election Day, signaling readiness to overturn the state provision—a stance echoed across 14 states with similar rules ahead of November midterms. No ruling has issued yet, with a decision expected by late June; election officials warn of processing disruptions, while recent Virginia redistricting appeals highlight related federal Election Day tensions reinforcing trader expectations of stricter deadlines.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States Supreme Court, in Watson v. Republican National Committee, rules that the federal election-day statutes preempt a state law that allows ballots cast by federal Election Day to be received and counted after election day, by August 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the Supreme Court’s decision in this case. Other related cases or legislation will not affect resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Supreme Court; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve based on the Supreme Court’s decision in this case. Other related cases or legislation will not affect resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Supreme Court; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间： Mar 24, 2026, 7:31 PM ET
交易量
$39,252结束日期
2026-08-01市场开放时间
Mar 24, 2026, 7:31 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States Supreme Court, in Watson v. Republican National Committee, rules that the federal election-day statutes preempt a state law that allows ballots cast by federal Election Day to be received and counted after election day, by August 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the Supreme Court’s decision in this case. Other related cases or legislation will not affect resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Supreme Court; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus prices a 73.5% chance that SCOTUS will bar states from counting mail ballots arriving after Election Day, driven by oral arguments on March 23, 2026, in a Republican National Committee challenge to Mississippi's five-day grace period for postmarked ballots. Conservative justices, including several in the majority, expressed skepticism toward such extensions under federal law establishing a single Election Day, signaling readiness to overturn the state provision—a stance echoed across 14 states with similar rules ahead of November midterms. No ruling has issued yet, with a decision expected by late June; election officials warn of processing disruptions, while recent Virginia redistricting appeals highlight related federal Election Day tensions reinforcing trader expectations of stricter deadlines.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States Supreme Court, in Watson v. Republican National Committee, rules that the federal election-day statutes preempt a state law that allows ballots cast by federal Election Day to be received and counted after election day, by August 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the Supreme Court’s decision in this case. Other related cases or legislation will not affect resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Supreme Court; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve based on the Supreme Court’s decision in this case. Other related cases or legislation will not affect resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Supreme Court; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$39,252结束日期
2026-08-01市场开放时间
Mar 24, 2026, 7:31 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices a 73.5% chance that SCOTUS will bar states from counting mail ballots arriving after Election Day, driven by oral arguments on March 23, 2026, in a Republican National Committee challenge to Mississippi's five-day grace period for postmarked ballots. Conservative justices, including several in the majority, expressed skepticism toward such extensions under federal law establishing a single Election Day, signaling readiness to overturn the state provision—a stance echoed across 14 states with similar rules ahead of November midterms. No ruling has issued yet, with a decision expected by late June; election officials warn of processing disruptions, while recent Virginia redistricting appeals highlight related federal Election Day tensions reinforcing trader expectations of stricter deadlines.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题